American Medical Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of American Medical Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000031 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000011 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006. American Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for American Medical is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of American Medical Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

American Medical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of American Medical Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000031 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000011, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

American Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.2209
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors6.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of American Medical Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict American Medical. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for American Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Medical Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.000009520.000009520.00000952
Details

American Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Consideration for investing in American Stock

If you are still planning to invest in American Medical Tec check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the American Medical's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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