Koninklijke Ahold OTC Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ADRNY OTC | USD 45.77 0.21 0.46% |
Triple Exponential Smoothing is applied to Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. These values update automatically with each new closing price. The Triple Exponential Smoothing model projects Koninklijke Ahold at 45.72 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This Triple Exponential Smoothing output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing model forecasts Koninklijke Ahold at 45.72 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 32.05 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Koninklijke Ahold's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Koninklijke Ahold | Koninklijke Ahold Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Koninklijke Ahold's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. Downside is estimated near 43.79 and upside near 47.65. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Triple Exponential Smoothing model's error metrics for Koninklijke Ahold otc stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0708 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5342 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0114 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.0494 |
Other Forecasting Options for Koninklijke Ahold
Koninklijke Ahold's daily price returns decompose into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in Koninklijke often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration. Gap analysis of Koninklijke OTC Stock data examines overnight jumps between Koninklijke Ahold's closing and opening prices.Koninklijke Ahold Related Equities
These related stocks within the Consumer Staples space give benchmarks for judging Koninklijke Ahold's results, margins, and growth trend. Peer review on balance sheet metrics shows how Koninklijke Ahold's capital structure stacks up against similar firms. Sector-wide trends across this peer group split company-level factors from broader forces. These links can also guide portfolio spreading choices within the sector.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Koninklijke Ahold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Koninklijke Ahold otc stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Koninklijke Ahold. Median and Typical Price smooth out intraday extremes, providing a cleaner reference level for evaluating Koninklijke Ahold sessions.
Koninklijke Ahold Risk Indicators
Assessing Koninklijke Ahold's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for koninklijke otc stock. The level of risk embedded in Koninklijke Ahold's feeds directly into exposure calibration. Comparing Koninklijke Ahold's downside variance to total variance reveals whether the risk profile is skewed toward losses.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Variance | 3.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.13 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
More Resources for Koninklijke OTC Stock Analysis
At Koninklijke Ahold, financial ratios outline links between core financial data. The data reflects the most recent reporting period available and is provided for reference.