ADVA Optical Pink Sheet Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average

ADVOF Stock  USD 24.19  0.00  0.00%   
ADVA Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of ADVA Optical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of ADVA Optical's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ADVA Optical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ADVA Optical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ADVA Optical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ADVA Optical Networking, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ADVA Optical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ADVA Optical Networking from the perspective of ADVA Optical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ADVA Optical Networking on the next trading day is expected to be 24.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

ADVA Optical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 24.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ADVA Optical to cross-verify your projections.

ADVA Optical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ADVA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ADVA using various technical indicators. When you analyze ADVA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for ADVA Optical is based on an artificially constructed time series of ADVA Optical daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

ADVA Optical 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ADVA Optical Networking on the next trading day is expected to be 24.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ADVA Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ADVA Optical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ADVA Optical Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest ADVA Optical  ADVA Optical Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

ADVA Optical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ADVA Optical's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ADVA Optical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.19 and 24.19, respectively. We have considered ADVA Optical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.19
24.19
Expected Value
24.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ADVA Optical pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ADVA Optical pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. ADVA Optical Networking 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for ADVA Optical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ADVA Optical Networking. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1924.1924.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.1924.1924.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.1924.1924.19
Details

ADVA Optical After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ADVA Optical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ADVA Optical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of ADVA Optical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ADVA Optical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ADVA Optical's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ADVA Optical's historical news coverage. ADVA Optical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.19 and 24.19, respectively. We have considered ADVA Optical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
24.19
24.19
After-hype Price
24.19
Upside
ADVA Optical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ADVA Optical Networking is based on 3 months time horizon.

ADVA Optical Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ADVA Optical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ADVA Optical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ADVA Optical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
24.19
24.19
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

ADVA Optical Hype Timeline

ADVA Optical Networking is presently traded for 24.19. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ADVA is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on ADVA Optical is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.19. About 47.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of ADVA Optical was presently reported as 7.16. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.96. ADVA Optical Networking had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ADVA Optical to cross-verify your projections.

ADVA Optical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ADVA Optical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ADVA Optical's future price movements. Getting to know how ADVA Optical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ADVA Optical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UBLXFu blox Holding AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 0.00  0.00  5.37 
JNPKFJenoptik AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  4.45  0.00  20.42 
BCNAFBarco NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.30) 0.00  0.00  2.07 
IPEUIPE Universal 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  158.33 
KRKNFKraken Robotics 0.00 0 per month 3.89  0.08  6.51 (7.21) 19.74 
AEXAFAtos SE 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0) 0.00 (3.12) 24.80 
JVCZYJVC Kenwood Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  22.57 
AUKUFams AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.25 (5.17) 30.50 
OKIEYOki Electric Industry 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.14  0.00  0.00  13.49 
ATAZFAtea ASA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for ADVA Optical

For every potential investor in ADVA, whether a beginner or expert, ADVA Optical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ADVA Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ADVA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ADVA Optical's price trends.

ADVA Optical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ADVA Optical pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ADVA Optical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ADVA Optical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ADVA Optical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ADVA Optical pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ADVA Optical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ADVA Optical pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ADVA Optical Networking entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for ADVA Optical

The number of cover stories for ADVA Optical depends on current market conditions and ADVA Optical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ADVA Optical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ADVA Optical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Information on Investing in ADVA Pink Sheet

ADVA Optical financial ratios help investors to determine whether ADVA Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ADVA with respect to the benefits of owning ADVA Optical security.