ALLETE Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| AEBA Stock | EUR 57.50 0.00 0.00% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ALLETE Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 57.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.35. ALLETE Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ALLETE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
ALLETE |
ALLETE Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ALLETE Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 57.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ALLETE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ALLETE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ALLETE Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ALLETE | ALLETE Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ALLETE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ALLETE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0679 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2771 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0048 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.3486 |
Predictive Modules for ALLETE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ALLETE Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ALLETE Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ALLETE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ALLETE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ALLETE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ALLETE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ALLETE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ALLETE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ALLETE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ALLETE Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ALLETE Risk Indicators
The analysis of ALLETE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ALLETE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting allete stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4642 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2187 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6614 | |||
| Variance | 0.4374 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8146 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0478 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in ALLETE Stock
When determining whether ALLETE Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze ALLETE's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ALLETE's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ALLETE Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.