American Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| AEDC Stock | USD 0 0.00 0.00% |
American Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast American Energy stock prices and determine the direction of American Energy Development's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of American Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of relative strength index of American Energy's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using American Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Energy Development from the perspective of American Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of American Energy Development on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. American Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 0.002 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Energy to cross-verify your projections. American Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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American Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of American Energy Development on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
American Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest American Energy | American Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
American Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting American Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 0, respectively. We have considered American Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for American Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Energy Deve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Energy's historical news coverage. American Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered American Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Energy Deve is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0 | 0 | 0.00 |
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American Energy Hype Timeline
American Energy Deve is presently traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. American is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.88. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American Energy Deve recorded a loss per share of 0.17. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 30:1 split on the 15th of July 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Energy to cross-verify your projections.American Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how American Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MLORF | Montello Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AOGC | Australian Oil Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LOGL | Legend Oil Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DKLRF | Decklar Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STDE | Standard Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HMLA | Homeland Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | (33.33) | 116.67 | |
| ONTRF | Blackrock Oil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EMBYF | Nexera Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 120.00 | |
| AXGC | Axis Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SPRL | Strat Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for American Energy
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Energy's price trends.American Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Energy Development entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for American Energy
The number of cover stories for American Energy depends on current market conditions and American Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Will Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sector continue expanding? Could American diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Energy. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every American Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding American Energy Deve requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects American's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what American Energy's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push American Energy's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that American Energy's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Energy represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, American Energy's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.