Aegon NV Stock Forward View
| AEG Stock | USD 7.79 0.02 0.26% |
Aegon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aegon NV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 31st of January 2026, The relative strength indicator of Aegon NV's share price is at 53. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aegon NV, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0202 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.412 | Wall Street Target Price 8.2749 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.035 |
Using Aegon NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aegon NV ADR from the perspective of Aegon NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aegon NV using Aegon NV's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aegon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aegon NV's stock price.
Aegon NV Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Aegon NV's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Aegon. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Aegon NV stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 7.37 | Short Percent 0.0012 | Short Ratio 0.43 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 7.6792 |
Aegon Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aegon NV ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 7.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.30.Aegon NV ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aegon NV's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aegon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aegon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aegon NV ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aegon NV's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aegon NV.
Aegon NV Implied Volatility | 0.97 |
Aegon NV's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aegon NV ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aegon NV's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aegon NV stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aegon NV's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aegon NV ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 7.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.30. Aegon NV after-hype prediction price | USD 7.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aegon NV to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Aegon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Aegon NV's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Aegon NV's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Aegon NV stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Aegon NV's open interest, investors have to compare it to Aegon NV's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Aegon NV is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Aegon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Aegon NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aegon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aegon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aegon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aegon NV Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Aegon NV's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2000-12-31 | Previous Quarter 3.5 B | Current Value 3.2 B | Quarterly Volatility 3.8 B |
Aegon NV Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aegon NV ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 7.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aegon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aegon NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aegon NV Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aegon NV | Aegon NV Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Aegon NV Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aegon NV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aegon NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.04 and 9.63, respectively. We have considered Aegon NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aegon NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aegon NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4206 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1197 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0156 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.3045 |
Predictive Modules for Aegon NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aegon NV ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aegon NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aegon NV After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aegon NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aegon NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aegon NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aegon NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aegon NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aegon NV's historical news coverage. Aegon NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.98 and 9.60, respectively. We have considered Aegon NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aegon NV is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aegon NV ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aegon NV Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aegon NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aegon NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aegon NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.79 | 7.79 | 0.00 |
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Aegon NV Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Aegon NV ADR is traded for 7.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aegon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aegon NV is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.79. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.06. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aegon NV ADR last dividend was issued on the 4th of September 2025. The entity had 104:100 split on the 17th of April 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aegon NV to cross-verify your projections.Aegon NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aegon NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aegon NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Aegon NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aegon NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AGESY | ageas SANV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.07 | 1.92 | (1.54) | 5.23 | |
| BBSEY | BB Seguridade Participacoes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.91 | 0.11 | 3.83 | (3.89) | 12.01 | |
| NNGRY | NN Group NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.17 | 1.64 | (1.44) | 5.20 | |
| HLVTY | Helvetia Holding AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.23 | |
| UFGSY | Unipol Gruppo SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | (0.0005) | 2.77 | (1.95) | 17.63 | |
| BLHEY | Baloise Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.91 | (4.42) | 12.81 | |
| MPFRY | Mapfre SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.35 | 0.04 | 5.75 | (5.19) | 19.33 | |
| GIVSY | Grupo de Inversiones | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GJNSY | Gjensidige Forsikring Asa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.54 | 0.02 | 5.92 | (4.62) | 12.38 | |
| VNRFY | Vienna Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 2.22 | 0.00 | 35.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aegon NV
For every potential investor in Aegon, whether a beginner or expert, Aegon NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aegon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aegon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aegon NV's price trends.Aegon NV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aegon NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aegon NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aegon NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aegon NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aegon NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aegon NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aegon NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aegon NV ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Aegon NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aegon NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aegon NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aegon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.18 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aegon NV
The number of cover stories for Aegon NV depends on current market conditions and Aegon NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aegon NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aegon NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aegon NV Short Properties
Aegon NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aegon NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aegon NV ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aegon NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aegon NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 58.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aegon NV to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Can Life & Health Insurance industry sustain growth momentum? Does Aegon have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aegon NV. If investors know Aegon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Aegon NV demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Dividend Share 0.38 | Earnings Share 0.94 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.035 |
Investors evaluate Aegon NV ADR using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Aegon NV's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Aegon NV's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Aegon NV's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aegon NV represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Aegon NV's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.