Grupo Aeromxico Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

AEROMEX Stock  MXN 167.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo Aeromxico SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 167.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Grupo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Grupo Aeromxico is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Grupo Aeromxico SAB value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Grupo Aeromxico Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo Aeromxico SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 167.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo Aeromxico's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Grupo Aeromxico Stock Forecast Pattern

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Grupo Aeromxico Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Grupo Aeromxico's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grupo Aeromxico's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 167.00 and 167.00, respectively. We have considered Grupo Aeromxico's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
167.00
167.00
Downside
167.00
Expected Value
167.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo Aeromxico stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo Aeromxico stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Grupo Aeromxico SAB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Grupo Aeromxico. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Grupo Aeromxico

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Aeromxico SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
167.00167.00167.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
167.00167.00167.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
167.00167.00167.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Grupo Aeromxico

For every potential investor in Grupo, whether a beginner or expert, Grupo Aeromxico's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grupo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grupo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grupo Aeromxico's price trends.

Grupo Aeromxico Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grupo Aeromxico stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grupo Aeromxico could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Aeromxico by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Grupo Aeromxico SAB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Grupo Aeromxico's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Grupo Aeromxico's current price.

Grupo Aeromxico Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grupo Aeromxico stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grupo Aeromxico shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grupo Aeromxico stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grupo Aeromxico SAB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Grupo Stock Analysis

When running Grupo Aeromxico's price analysis, check to measure Grupo Aeromxico's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grupo Aeromxico is operating at the current time. Most of Grupo Aeromxico's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grupo Aeromxico's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grupo Aeromxico's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grupo Aeromxico to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.