Bitwise Funds Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AETH Etf | 35.02 0.05 0.14% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bitwise Funds Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 33.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.80. Bitwise Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bitwise Funds' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength momentum indicator of Bitwise Funds' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bitwise Funds hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bitwise Funds Trust from the perspective of Bitwise Funds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bitwise Funds using Bitwise Funds' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bitwise using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bitwise Funds' stock price.
Bitwise Funds Implied Volatility | 1.0 |
Bitwise Funds' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bitwise Funds Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bitwise Funds' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bitwise Funds stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bitwise Funds' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bitwise Funds Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 33.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.80. Bitwise Funds after-hype prediction price | USD 35.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bitwise Funds to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bitwise contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bitwise Funds Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0625% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Bitwise Funds trading at USD 35.02, that is roughly USD 0.0219 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bitwise Funds' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bitwise Funds Trust options at the current volatility level of 1.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Bitwise Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Bitwise Funds' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Bitwise Funds' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Bitwise Funds stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Bitwise Funds' open interest, investors have to compare it to Bitwise Funds' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Bitwise Funds is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Bitwise. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Bitwise Funds Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bitwise price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bitwise using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bitwise charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bitwise Funds Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bitwise Funds Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 33.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bitwise Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bitwise Funds' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bitwise Funds Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bitwise Funds | Bitwise Funds Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bitwise Funds Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bitwise Funds' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bitwise Funds' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.55 and 36.15, respectively. We have considered Bitwise Funds' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bitwise Funds etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bitwise Funds etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9556 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6524 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0172 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 39.7969 |
Predictive Modules for Bitwise Funds
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bitwise Funds Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bitwise Funds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bitwise Funds After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bitwise Funds at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bitwise Funds or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Bitwise Funds, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bitwise Funds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bitwise Funds' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bitwise Funds' historical news coverage. Bitwise Funds' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.70 and 37.30, respectively. We have considered Bitwise Funds' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bitwise Funds is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bitwise Funds Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bitwise Funds Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Bitwise Funds is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bitwise Funds backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bitwise Funds, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.30 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 1 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.02 | 35.00 | 0.06 |
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Bitwise Funds Hype Timeline
Bitwise Funds Trust is presently traded for 35.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Bitwise is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 35.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Bitwise Funds is about 1575.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.06. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bitwise Funds to cross-verify your projections.Bitwise Funds Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bitwise Funds' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bitwise Funds' future price movements. Getting to know how Bitwise Funds' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bitwise Funds may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ULE | ProShares Ultra Euro | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.45 | (0.06) | 1.25 | (0.86) | 2.61 | |
| USVN | US Treasury 7 | 0.05 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.42) | 0.29 | (0.33) | 0.93 | |
| ESMV | iShares ESG MSCI | 0.37 | 5 per month | 0.87 | (0.08) | 0.83 | (0.86) | 7.02 | |
| SETH | ProShares Trust | 1.12 | 4 per month | 4.15 | 0.06 | 7.86 | (7.46) | 18.76 | |
| EVMT | Invesco Electric Vehicle | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.45 | 0.20 | 2.36 | (1.14) | 5.47 | |
| NFXS | Direxion Daily NFLX | 0.32 | 2 per month | 0.98 | 0.22 | 3.85 | (2.25) | 13.79 | |
| EMIF | iShares Emerging Markets | (0.42) | 6 per month | 0.41 | 0.15 | 1.70 | (0.90) | 3.81 | |
| RFEU | First Trust RiverFront | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.32 | 0.03 | 0.94 | (0.86) | 2.44 | |
| CPAG | Fm Compoundr Aggregate | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.45) | 0.29 | (0.31) | 0.79 | |
| PQAP | PGIM Nasdaq 100 Buffer | 0.03 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.32 | (0.35) | 1.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bitwise Funds
For every potential investor in Bitwise, whether a beginner or expert, Bitwise Funds' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bitwise Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bitwise. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bitwise Funds' price trends.Bitwise Funds Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bitwise Funds etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bitwise Funds could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bitwise Funds by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bitwise Funds Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bitwise Funds etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bitwise Funds shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bitwise Funds etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Bitwise Funds Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bitwise Funds Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bitwise Funds' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bitwise Funds' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bitwise etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.9 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bitwise Funds
The number of cover stories for Bitwise Funds depends on current market conditions and Bitwise Funds' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bitwise Funds is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bitwise Funds' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bitwise Funds to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
The market value of Bitwise Funds Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bitwise that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bitwise Funds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bitwise Funds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bitwise Funds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bitwise Funds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bitwise Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bitwise Funds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bitwise Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.