AFC Gamma Stock Forward View
| AFCG Stock | USD 2.09 0.09 4.13% |
AFC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of AFC Gamma's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the rsi of AFC Gamma's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.17 | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.04) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2933 | Wall Street Target Price 5.25 |
Using AFC Gamma hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AFC Gamma from the perspective of AFC Gamma response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AFC Gamma using AFC Gamma's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AFC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AFC Gamma's stock price.
AFC Gamma Implied Volatility | 1.86 |
AFC Gamma's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AFC Gamma stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AFC Gamma's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AFC Gamma stock will not fluctuate a lot when AFC Gamma's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of AFC Gamma on the next trading day is expected to be 2.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.38. AFC Gamma after-hype prediction price | USD 3.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AFC Gamma to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 AFC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast AFC Gamma's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in AFC Gamma's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for AFC Gamma stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current AFC Gamma's open interest, investors have to compare it to AFC Gamma's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of AFC Gamma is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in AFC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
AFC Gamma Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AFC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AFC using various technical indicators. When you analyze AFC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AFC Gamma Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the AFC Gamma's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-09-30 | Previous Quarter 3.4 M | Current Value 45.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 44.8 M |
AFC Gamma Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of AFC Gamma on the next trading day is expected to be 2.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AFC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AFC Gamma's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AFC Gamma Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AFC Gamma | AFC Gamma Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
AFC Gamma Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AFC Gamma's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AFC Gamma's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.50, respectively. We have considered AFC Gamma's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AFC Gamma stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AFC Gamma stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1135 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1046 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0365 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.3783 |
Predictive Modules for AFC Gamma
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFC Gamma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AFC Gamma's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AFC Gamma After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AFC Gamma at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AFC Gamma or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AFC Gamma, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AFC Gamma Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AFC Gamma's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AFC Gamma's historical news coverage. AFC Gamma's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 7.70, respectively. We have considered AFC Gamma's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AFC Gamma is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AFC Gamma is based on 3 months time horizon.
AFC Gamma Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AFC Gamma is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AFC Gamma backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AFC Gamma, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 4.43 | 0.03 | 0.54 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.09 | 3.07 | 46.94 |
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AFC Gamma Hype Timeline
AFC Gamma is presently traded for 2.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.54. AFC is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.0709999999999997 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 46.94%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.5%. The volatility of related hype on AFC Gamma is about 409.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.63. AFC Gamma currently holds 188.61 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.29, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. AFC Gamma has a current ratio of 18.55, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about AFC Gamma's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AFC Gamma to cross-verify your projections.AFC Gamma Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AFC Gamma's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AFC Gamma's future price movements. Getting to know how AFC Gamma's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AFC Gamma may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CHMI | Cherry Hill Mortgage | (0.03) | 10 per month | 1.53 | 0.09 | 3.52 | (2.89) | 9.35 | |
| CLPR | Clipper Realty | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.55 | (2.96) | 13.64 | |
| GMRE | Global Medical REIT | 0.19 | 7 per month | 1.18 | 0.13 | 3.49 | (1.87) | 9.05 | |
| MAYS | J W Mays | 0.15 | 3 per month | 1.90 | 0.03 | 3.87 | (3.84) | 16.12 | |
| LFT | Lument Finance Trust | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.92 | (6.33) | 20.44 | |
| TKCM | Token Communities | 9.32 | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 1.69 | (33.33) | 178.98 | |
| LOAN | Manhattan Bridge Capital | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.90 | (2.16) | 6.27 | |
| SACH | Sachem Capital Corp | (0.04) | 5 per month | 1.98 | (0) | 3.00 | (4.67) | 13.97 | |
| OPAD | Offerpad Solutions | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 9.92 | (12.42) | 62.80 |
Other Forecasting Options for AFC Gamma
For every potential investor in AFC, whether a beginner or expert, AFC Gamma's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AFC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AFC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AFC Gamma's price trends.AFC Gamma Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AFC Gamma stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AFC Gamma could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AFC Gamma by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AFC Gamma Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AFC Gamma stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AFC Gamma shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AFC Gamma stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AFC Gamma entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.09 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.09 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.09) |
AFC Gamma Risk Indicators
The analysis of AFC Gamma's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AFC Gamma's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting afc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.27 | |||
| Variance | 18.21 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AFC Gamma
The number of cover stories for AFC Gamma depends on current market conditions and AFC Gamma's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AFC Gamma is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AFC Gamma's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AFC Gamma Short Properties
AFC Gamma's future price predictability will typically decrease when AFC Gamma's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AFC Gamma often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AFC Gamma's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AFC Gamma's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 103.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AFC Gamma to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in AFC Stock please use our How to Invest in AFC Gamma guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Can Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) industry sustain growth momentum? Does AFC have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AFC Gamma. If investors know AFC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating AFC Gamma demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | Dividend Share 0.86 | Earnings Share (1.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Understanding AFC Gamma requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects AFC's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what AFC Gamma's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push AFC Gamma's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that AFC Gamma's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AFC Gamma represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, AFC Gamma's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.