Affiliated Resources Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| AFFL Stock | USD 0.05 0.0007 1.44% |
Affiliated Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Affiliated Resources' share price is below 30 as of now. This suggests that the pink sheet is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Affiliated Resources Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 28
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Affiliated Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Affiliated Resources Corp from the perspective of Affiliated Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Affiliated Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.16. Affiliated Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 0.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Affiliated |
Affiliated Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Affiliated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Affiliated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Affiliated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Affiliated Resources Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Affiliated Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000012, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Affiliated Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Affiliated Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Affiliated Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Affiliated Resources | Affiliated Resources Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Affiliated Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Affiliated Resources' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Affiliated Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0005 and 3.80, respectively. We have considered Affiliated Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Affiliated Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Affiliated Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.7531 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0026 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0449 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1606 |
Predictive Modules for Affiliated Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Affiliated Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Affiliated Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Affiliated Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Affiliated Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Affiliated Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Affiliated Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Affiliated Resources' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Affiliated Resources' historical news coverage. Affiliated Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 3.80, respectively. We have considered Affiliated Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Affiliated Resources is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Affiliated Resources Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Affiliated Resources Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Affiliated Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Affiliated Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Affiliated Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 3.75 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.05 | 0.05 | 4.17 |
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Affiliated Resources Hype Timeline
Affiliated Resources Corp is presently traded for 0.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.07. Affiliated is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price upswing on the next news is estimated to be 4.17%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Affiliated Resources is about 2678.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.12. Affiliated Resources Corp currently holds about 1.36 K in cash with (862.84 K) of positive cash flow from operations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Affiliated Resources to cross-verify your projections.Affiliated Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Affiliated Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Affiliated Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Affiliated Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Affiliated Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UFMG | Universal Mfg Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OPTI | Optec International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 19.21 | 0.06 | 40.00 | (29.17) | 131.43 | |
| ATHHF | Athene Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 17.54 | 0.05 | 32.99 | (31.82) | 92.28 | |
| AMTY | Amerityre Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CDTI | CDTi Advanced Materials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.37 | (11.84) | 43.34 | |
| LNBY | Lanbay Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.75 | |
| NROM | Noble Romans | 1.40 | 3 per month | 3.88 | 0.17 | 12.90 | (10.26) | 44.76 | |
| BANI | Banneker | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GHST | GHST World | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 17.65 | (15.00) | 50.29 | |
| DGIX | Dyna Group International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for Affiliated Resources
For every potential investor in Affiliated, whether a beginner or expert, Affiliated Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Affiliated Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Affiliated. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Affiliated Resources' price trends.Affiliated Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Affiliated Resources pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Affiliated Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Affiliated Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Affiliated Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Affiliated Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Affiliated Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Affiliated Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Affiliated Resources Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.048 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.048 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.0003) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.0007) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 28.64 |
Affiliated Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Affiliated Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Affiliated Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting affiliated pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.07 | |||
| Variance | 122.48 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Affiliated Resources
The number of cover stories for Affiliated Resources depends on current market conditions and Affiliated Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Affiliated Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Affiliated Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Affiliated Pink Sheet
Affiliated Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Affiliated Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Affiliated with respect to the benefits of owning Affiliated Resources security.