American Financial Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

American Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for American Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of American Financial Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

American Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of American Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 19.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.37.

American Financial Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

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American Financial Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

American Financial Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Financial preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Financial preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of American Financial Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict American Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for American Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 18.85 19.34 19.83 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 18.90 19.39 19.88 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 18.83 19.13 19.44 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Financial.

American Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

American Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

American Financial Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis

American Financial Hype Timeline

American Financial is presently traded for 19.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. American is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Financial is about 176.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.33. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of March 2023. American Financial had a split on the 30th of January 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Financial to cross-verify your projections.

American Financial Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for American Financial

For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Financial's price trends.

American Financial Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

American Financial Market Strength Events

American Financial Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for American Financial

Other Macroaxis Stories

American Financial Short Properties

Other Information on Investing in American Preferred Stock