AFC Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AFGYF Stock | USD 0.16 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of AFC Energy plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.26. AFC Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AFC Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of AFC Energy's pink sheet price is roughly 66. This suggests that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling AFC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AFC Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AFC Energy plc from the perspective of AFC Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of AFC Energy plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.26. AFC Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 0.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AFC |
AFC Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AFC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AFC using various technical indicators. When you analyze AFC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AFC Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of AFC Energy plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000042, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AFC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AFC Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AFC Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AFC Energy | AFC Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
AFC Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AFC Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AFC Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.27, respectively. We have considered AFC Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AFC Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AFC Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.0389 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0043 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0349 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.2625 |
Predictive Modules for AFC Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFC Energy plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AFC Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AFC Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AFC Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AFC Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of AFC Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AFC Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AFC Energy's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AFC Energy's historical news coverage. AFC Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 6.28, respectively. We have considered AFC Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AFC Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AFC Energy plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
AFC Energy Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AFC Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AFC Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AFC Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 6.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.16 | 0.16 | 0.00 |
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AFC Energy Hype Timeline
AFC Energy plc is presently traded for 0.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AFC is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.64%. %. The volatility of related hype on AFC Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.16. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of AFC Energy was presently reported as 0.07. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. AFC Energy plc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AFC Energy to cross-verify your projections.AFC Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AFC Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AFC Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how AFC Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AFC Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DIALF | Dialight plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.20 | |
| 444859BR2 | HUMANA INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.19 | (2.51) | 12.88 | |
| BRRAY | Barloworld Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 6.46 | 0.00 | 159.32 | |
| ABHYX | High Yield Municipal Fund | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.62) | 0.23 | (0.23) | 0.92 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.42 | 0.05 | 0.93 | (1.09) | 12.28 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.43) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.77 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.18 | (0.09) | 0.68 | (0.59) | 2.04 | |
| KNO | Investment Managers Series | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | (0.01) | 1.25 | (1.27) | 3.07 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.12 | (0.07) | 0.57 | (0.49) | 3.30 | |
| XTWO | Bondbloxx ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.54) | 0.10 | (0.10) | 0.26 |
Other Forecasting Options for AFC Energy
For every potential investor in AFC, whether a beginner or expert, AFC Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AFC Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AFC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AFC Energy's price trends.AFC Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AFC Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AFC Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AFC Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AFC Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AFC Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AFC Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AFC Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify AFC Energy plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
AFC Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of AFC Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AFC Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting afc pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.97 | |||
| Variance | 35.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 72.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (13.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AFC Energy
The number of cover stories for AFC Energy depends on current market conditions and AFC Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AFC Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AFC Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in AFC Pink Sheet
AFC Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether AFC Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AFC with respect to the benefits of owning AFC Energy security.