Acutus Medical Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

AFIB Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
Acutus Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Acutus Medical stock prices and determine the direction of Acutus Medical's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Acutus Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Acutus Medical's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Acutus Medical, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Acutus Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Acutus Medical, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Acutus Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acutus Medical from the perspective of Acutus Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Acutus Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.

Acutus Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.97E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acutus Medical to cross-verify your projections.

Acutus Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Acutus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acutus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acutus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Acutus Medical - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Acutus Medical prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Acutus Medical price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Acutus Medical.

Acutus Medical Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Acutus Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000043, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Acutus Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Acutus Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Acutus Medical Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Acutus Medical  Acutus Medical Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Acutus Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Acutus Medical's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Acutus Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000002 and 257.21, respectively. We have considered Acutus Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.000002
Downside
0.0003
Expected Value
257.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Acutus Medical pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Acutus Medical pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation3.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0152
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Acutus Medical observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Acutus Medical observations.

Predictive Modules for Acutus Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acutus Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000250.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000650.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.00140.00050
Details

Acutus Medical After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Acutus Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acutus Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Acutus Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Acutus Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Acutus Medical's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acutus Medical's historical news coverage. Acutus Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered Acutus Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0002
0.0002
After-hype Price
50.01
Upside
Acutus Medical is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acutus Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.

Acutus Medical Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acutus Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acutus Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acutus Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  69.82 
257.21
 0.00  
  0.08 
10 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0002
0.0002
1.41 
0.00  
Notes

Acutus Medical Hype Timeline

Acutus Medical is presently traded for 0.0002. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.08. Acutus is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.97E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.41%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 69.82%. The volatility of related hype on Acutus Medical is about 2.338272727E7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.08. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.53. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Acutus Medical recorded a loss per share of 0.41. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acutus Medical to cross-verify your projections.

Acutus Medical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Acutus Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acutus Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Acutus Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acutus Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TCLIFTheraclion SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IGNTIngen Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CGHCCptl Grp Hldngs 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ARDSAridis Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 37.27  0.33  1,000.00 (90.48) 1,141 
SWNMSouthwestern Medical Solutions 0.00 5 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
INFIQInfinity Pharmaceuticals 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WPHMWinston Pharmaceuticals 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ICCTiCoreConnect Common stock 0.01 3 per month 32.38  0.20  250.00 (72.73) 540.00 
LFPILifePoint 0.00 7 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EVLOEvelo Biosciences 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00 (20.00) 460.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Acutus Medical

For every potential investor in Acutus, whether a beginner or expert, Acutus Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Acutus Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Acutus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Acutus Medical's price trends.

Acutus Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Acutus Medical pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Acutus Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acutus Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Acutus Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Acutus Medical pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Acutus Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Acutus Medical pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Acutus Medical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Acutus Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Acutus Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Acutus Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acutus pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Acutus Medical

The number of cover stories for Acutus Medical depends on current market conditions and Acutus Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acutus Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acutus Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Acutus Medical Short Properties

Acutus Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Acutus Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acutus Medical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acutus Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acutus Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments29.4 M

Other Information on Investing in Acutus Pink Sheet

Acutus Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Acutus Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Acutus with respect to the benefits of owning Acutus Medical security.