Arctic Fish Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AFISH Stock | NOK 27.80 2.80 9.15% |
Arctic Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of Arctic Fish's share price is at 55. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Arctic Fish, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Arctic Fish hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Arctic Fish Holding from the perspective of Arctic Fish response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Arctic Fish Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 28.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.61. Arctic Fish after-hype prediction price | NOK 27.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Arctic |
Arctic Fish Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Arctic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Arctic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Arctic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Arctic Fish Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Arctic Fish Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 28.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94, mean absolute percentage error of 1.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Arctic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Arctic Fish's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Arctic Fish Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Arctic Fish | Arctic Fish Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Arctic Fish Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Arctic Fish's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Arctic Fish's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.25 and 32.60, respectively. We have considered Arctic Fish's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Arctic Fish stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Arctic Fish stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5111 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0197 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9445 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0306 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 57.6135 |
Predictive Modules for Arctic Fish
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arctic Fish Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arctic Fish After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Arctic Fish at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Arctic Fish or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Arctic Fish, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Arctic Fish Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Arctic Fish's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Arctic Fish's historical news coverage. Arctic Fish's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.62 and 31.98, respectively. We have considered Arctic Fish's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Arctic Fish is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Arctic Fish Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Arctic Fish Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Arctic Fish is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arctic Fish backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Arctic Fish, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 4.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.80 | 27.80 | 0.00 |
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Arctic Fish Hype Timeline
Arctic Fish Holding is presently traded for 27.80on Oslo Stock Exchange of Norway. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Arctic is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Arctic Fish is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.80. About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Arctic Fish was presently reported as 30.62. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Arctic Fish to cross-verify your projections.Arctic Fish Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Arctic Fish's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Arctic Fish's future price movements. Getting to know how Arctic Fish's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Arctic Fish may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ANDF | Andfjord Salmon AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | (0.01) | 5.12 | (3.47) | 13.45 | |
| NOHAL | Nordic Halibut AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.20 | (0) | 4.90 | (3.67) | 17.26 | |
| NCOD | Norcod As | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.00 | (7.06) | 16.33 | |
| BARRA | Barramundi Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.19 | 0.1 | 30.23 | (20.37) | 328.88 | |
| LUMI | Lumi Gruppen AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | 0.11 | 4.71 | (2.96) | 10.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Arctic Fish
For every potential investor in Arctic, whether a beginner or expert, Arctic Fish's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Arctic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Arctic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Arctic Fish's price trends.Arctic Fish Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Arctic Fish stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Arctic Fish could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arctic Fish by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Arctic Fish Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Arctic Fish stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Arctic Fish shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Arctic Fish stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Arctic Fish Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Arctic Fish Risk Indicators
The analysis of Arctic Fish's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Arctic Fish's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting arctic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.15 | |||
| Variance | 17.22 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Arctic Fish
The number of cover stories for Arctic Fish depends on current market conditions and Arctic Fish's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Arctic Fish is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Arctic Fish's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Arctic Fish Short Properties
Arctic Fish's future price predictability will typically decrease when Arctic Fish's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Arctic Fish Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Arctic Fish's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arctic Fish's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in Arctic Stock
Arctic Fish financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arctic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arctic with respect to the benefits of owning Arctic Fish security.