Aimei Health Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AFJK Stock | 48.46 0.62 1.30% |
Aimei Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Aimei Health's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Aimei Health's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Aimei Health fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Aimei Health's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) |
Using Aimei Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aimei Health Technology from the perspective of Aimei Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aimei Health Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 48.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 336.91. Aimei Health after-hype prediction price | USD 51.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aimei Health to cross-verify your projections. Aimei Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aimei price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aimei using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aimei charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aimei Health Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aimei Health Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 48.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.62, mean absolute percentage error of 164.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 336.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aimei Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aimei Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aimei Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aimei Health | Aimei Health Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Aimei Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aimei Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aimei Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.48 and 178.79, respectively. We have considered Aimei Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aimei Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aimei Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.3755 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.3855 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.6152 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1187 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 336.9137 |
Predictive Modules for Aimei Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aimei Health Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aimei Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aimei Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aimei Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aimei Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aimei Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aimei Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aimei Health's historical news coverage. Aimei Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.56 and 4,897, respectively. We have considered Aimei Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aimei Health is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aimei Health Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aimei Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aimei Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aimei Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aimei Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
16.84 | 129.82 | 1,327 | 2.21 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
48.46 | 51.18 | 5.61 |
|
Aimei Health Hype Timeline
Aimei Health Technology is presently traded for 48.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1327.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.21. Aimei is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 51.18 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 164.7%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 5.61%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 16.84%. The volatility of related hype on Aimei Health is about 99099.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.25. Aimei Health generates negative cash flow from operationsGiven the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aimei Health to cross-verify your projections.Aimei Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aimei Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aimei Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Aimei Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aimei Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OAKU | Oak Woods Acquisition | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.62 | (0.06) | 1.24 | (1.07) | 6.66 | |
| EURK | Eureka Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.24 | (0.13) | 0.28 | (0.45) | 2.74 | |
| CPBI | Central Plains Bancshares | 0.17 | 5 per month | 1.06 | 0.04 | 1.68 | (1.19) | 6.35 | |
| KOYN | CSLM Digital Asset | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.04 | (0.56) | 0.20 | (0.20) | 1.10 | |
| BAYA | Bayview Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.29 | 0.04 | 1.89 | (1.01) | 4.21 | |
| ORIQU | Origin Investment Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.88 | (1.14) | 4.07 | |
| RIBB | Ribbon Acquisition Corp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.19 | (0.20) | 0.48 | (0.29) | 2.65 | |
| RIBBU | Ribbon Acquisition Corp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (1.49) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.57 | |
| UYSC | UY Scuti Acquisition | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.66) | 0.20 | (0.19) | 0.59 | |
| ISRL | Israel Acquisitions Corp | (1.48) | 4 per month | 1.46 | (0.0007) | 1.56 | (2.65) | 21.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aimei Health
For every potential investor in Aimei, whether a beginner or expert, Aimei Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aimei Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aimei. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aimei Health's price trends.Aimei Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aimei Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aimei Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aimei Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aimei Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aimei Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aimei Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aimei Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aimei Health Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Aimei Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aimei Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aimei Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aimei stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 37.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 12.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 125.88 | |||
| Variance | 15845.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 248.3 | |||
| Semi Variance | 154.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (55.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aimei Health
The number of cover stories for Aimei Health depends on current market conditions and Aimei Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aimei Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aimei Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Aimei Health Short Properties
Aimei Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aimei Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aimei Health Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aimei Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aimei Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.2 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aimei Health to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Life Sciences Tools & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aimei Health. If investors know Aimei will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Aimei Health assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding Aimei Health Technology requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Aimei's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Aimei Health's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Aimei Health's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Aimei Health's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aimei Health represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Aimei Health's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.