Aimei Health Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

AFJKU Stock   10.75  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Aimei Health Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 10.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.52. Aimei Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Aimei Health is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Aimei Health Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Aimei Health Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 10.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aimei Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aimei Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aimei Health Stock Forecast Pattern

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Aimei Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Aimei Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aimei Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.69 and 11.81, respectively. We have considered Aimei Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.75
10.75
Expected Value
11.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aimei Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aimei Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.9819
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0025
MADMean absolute deviation0.0427
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0039
SAESum of the absolute errors2.52
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Aimei Health Technology price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Aimei Health. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Aimei Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aimei Health Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6810.7511.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.6610.7311.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.7510.7510.75
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Aimei Health

For every potential investor in Aimei, whether a beginner or expert, Aimei Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aimei Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aimei. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aimei Health's price trends.

Aimei Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aimei Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aimei Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aimei Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aimei Health Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Aimei Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Aimei Health's current price.

Aimei Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aimei Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aimei Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aimei Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aimei Health Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Aimei Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Aimei Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aimei Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aimei stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Aimei Stock Analysis

When running Aimei Health's price analysis, check to measure Aimei Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aimei Health is operating at the current time. Most of Aimei Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aimei Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aimei Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aimei Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.