Agencia Comercial Stock Forward View
| AGCC Stock | 9.46 0.01 0.11% |
Agencia Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Agencia Comercial stock prices and determine the direction of Agencia Comercial Spirits's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Agencia Comercial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Agencia Comercial's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Agencia Comercial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agencia Comercial Spirits from the perspective of Agencia Comercial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Agencia Comercial Spirits on the next trading day is expected to be 9.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.97. Agencia Comercial after-hype prediction price | USD 11.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Agencia Comercial to cross-verify your projections. Agencia Comercial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Agencia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agencia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agencia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Agencia Comercial Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Agencia Comercial's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 49.3 K | Current Value 72.4 K | Quarterly Volatility 26.9 K |
Agencia Comercial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Agencia Comercial Spirits on the next trading day is expected to be 9.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Agencia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Agencia Comercial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Agencia Comercial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Agencia Comercial | Agencia Comercial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Agencia Comercial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Agencia Comercial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Agencia Comercial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.48 and 18.33, respectively. We have considered Agencia Comercial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Agencia Comercial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Agencia Comercial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9429 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6389 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0687 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.9703 |
Predictive Modules for Agencia Comercial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agencia Comercial Spirits. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agencia Comercial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Agencia Comercial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Agencia Comercial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agencia Comercial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agencia Comercial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Agencia Comercial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Agencia Comercial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agencia Comercial's historical news coverage. Agencia Comercial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.23 and 20.09, respectively. We have considered Agencia Comercial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Agencia Comercial is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agencia Comercial Spirits is based on 3 months time horizon.
Agencia Comercial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agencia Comercial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agencia Comercial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agencia Comercial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.20 | 8.93 | 1.73 | 0.06 | 29 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 29 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.46 | 11.16 | 17.97 |
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Agencia Comercial Hype Timeline
Agencia Comercial Spirits is presently traded for 9.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.73, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Agencia is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 17.97%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.2%. The volatility of related hype on Agencia Comercial is about 18224.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.40. Agencia Comercial Spirits currently holds 29.74 K in liabilities. Note, when we think about Agencia Comercial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 29 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Agencia Comercial to cross-verify your projections.Agencia Comercial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Agencia Comercial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agencia Comercial's future price movements. Getting to know how Agencia Comercial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agencia Comercial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EPSM | Epsium Enterprise Limited | 0.30 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 20.50 | (19.12) | 110.67 | |
| HFFG | Hf Foods Group | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.94 | (6.05) | 16.37 | |
| VSA | TCTM Kids IT | (0.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 13.91 | (23.98) | 94.20 | |
| SKIL | Skillsoft Corp | (0.67) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 13.00 | (11.32) | 39.40 | |
| LGCY | Legacy Education | (0.11) | 8 per month | 3.10 | 0.06 | 6.29 | (5.41) | 22.37 | |
| ACU | Acme United | 0.18 | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.1 | 3.97 | (2.42) | 9.49 | |
| YOUL | Youlife Group American | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.50 | (13.29) | 82.82 | |
| CHGG | Chegg Inc | (0.04) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.79 | (8.08) | 38.40 | |
| HAIN | The Hain Celestial | 0.01 | 10 per month | 3.47 | 0.04 | 9.40 | (6.25) | 19.76 | |
| ISPR | Ispire Technology Common | 0.07 | 6 per month | 5.04 | 0.18 | 10.13 | (9.07) | 29.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Agencia Comercial
For every potential investor in Agencia, whether a beginner or expert, Agencia Comercial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Agencia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Agencia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Agencia Comercial's price trends.Agencia Comercial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Agencia Comercial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Agencia Comercial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agencia Comercial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Agencia Comercial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Agencia Comercial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Agencia Comercial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Agencia Comercial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Agencia Comercial Spirits entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Agencia Comercial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Agencia Comercial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Agencia Comercial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting agencia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.46 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.04 | |||
| Variance | 81.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 48.8 | |||
| Semi Variance | 41.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.01) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Agencia Comercial
The number of cover stories for Agencia Comercial depends on current market conditions and Agencia Comercial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agencia Comercial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agencia Comercial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Agencia Comercial Short Properties
Agencia Comercial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Agencia Comercial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agencia Comercial Spirits often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agencia Comercial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agencia Comercial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54.8 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Agencia Comercial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Will Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries sector continue expanding? Could Agencia diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agencia Comercial. If investors know Agencia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Agencia Comercial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Agencia Comercial Spirits requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Agencia's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Agencia Comercial's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Agencia Comercial's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Agencia Comercial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Agencia Comercial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Agencia Comercial's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.