Ageas SA/NV Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| AGESF Stock | USD 69.40 0.00 0.00% |
Ageas Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ageas SA/NV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Ageas SA/NV's share price is above 80 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 84
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ageas SA/NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ageas SANV from the perspective of Ageas SA/NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ageas SANV on the next trading day is expected to be 69.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.62. Ageas SA/NV after-hype prediction price | USD 69.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ageas |
Ageas SA/NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ageas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ageas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ageas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ageas SA/NV Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ageas SANV on the next trading day is expected to be 69.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ageas Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ageas SA/NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ageas SA/NV Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ageas SA/NV | Ageas SA/NV Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ageas SA/NV Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ageas SA/NV's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ageas SA/NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 68.80 and 70.00, respectively. We have considered Ageas SA/NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ageas SA/NV pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ageas SA/NV pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8472 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0661 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0953 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.62 |
Predictive Modules for Ageas SA/NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ageas SA/NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ageas SA/NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ageas SA/NV After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ageas SA/NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ageas SA/NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Ageas SA/NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ageas SA/NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ageas SA/NV's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ageas SA/NV's historical news coverage. Ageas SA/NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.80 and 70.00, respectively. We have considered Ageas SA/NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ageas SA/NV is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ageas SA/NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ageas SA/NV Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ageas SA/NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ageas SA/NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ageas SA/NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
69.40 | 69.40 | 0.00 |
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Ageas SA/NV Hype Timeline
Ageas SA/NV is presently traded for 69.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ageas is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ageas SA/NV is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.40. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.84. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ageas SA/NV recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.78. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of October 2022. The firm had 1:10 split on the 7th of August 2012. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ageas SA/NV to cross-verify your projections.Ageas SA/NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ageas SA/NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ageas SA/NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Ageas SA/NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ageas SA/NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SLFIF | Sun Life Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.06 | 0.00 | 2.46 | |
| BKKPF | Bangkok Bank Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 6.67 | |
| GJNSF | Gjensidige Forsikring ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ISDAF | Israel Discount Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.56 | |
| AEGOF | Aegon NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.88 | |
| AGRPY | Absa Group Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.18 | 6.57 | (3.62) | 12.80 | |
| BPHLF | Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 20.32 | (12.32) | 28.58 | |
| ALBKY | Alpha Bank SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.61 | 0.04 | 5.49 | (4.35) | 20.08 | |
| BLHEF | Bloise Holding AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MPFRY | Mapfre SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.62 | (5.19) | 19.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ageas SA/NV
For every potential investor in Ageas, whether a beginner or expert, Ageas SA/NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ageas Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ageas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ageas SA/NV's price trends.Ageas SA/NV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ageas SA/NV pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ageas SA/NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ageas SA/NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ageas SA/NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ageas SA/NV pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ageas SA/NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ageas SA/NV pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ageas SANV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ageas SA/NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ageas SA/NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ageas SA/NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ageas pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1412 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5776 | |||
| Variance | 0.3336 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ageas SA/NV
The number of cover stories for Ageas SA/NV depends on current market conditions and Ageas SA/NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ageas SA/NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ageas SA/NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Ageas Pink Sheet
Ageas SA/NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ageas Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ageas with respect to the benefits of owning Ageas SA/NV security.