Agra Ventures Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AGFAF Stock | USD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Agra Ventures on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04. Agra Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Agra Ventures' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Agra |
Agra Ventures Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Agra Ventures on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000152, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Agra Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Agra Ventures' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Agra Ventures Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Agra Ventures Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Agra Ventures' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Agra Ventures' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 10.80, respectively. We have considered Agra Ventures' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Agra Ventures pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Agra Ventures pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 104.7125 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0492 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0444 |
Predictive Modules for Agra Ventures
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agra Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Agra Ventures
For every potential investor in Agra, whether a beginner or expert, Agra Ventures' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Agra Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Agra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Agra Ventures' price trends.View Agra Ventures Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Agra Ventures Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Agra Ventures' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Agra Ventures' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Agra Ventures Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Agra Ventures pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Agra Ventures shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Agra Ventures pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Agra Ventures entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0155 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0155 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.21 |
Agra Ventures Risk Indicators
The analysis of Agra Ventures' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Agra Ventures' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting agra pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.36 | |||
| Variance | 129.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Agra Pink Sheet
Agra Ventures financial ratios help investors to determine whether Agra Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Agra with respect to the benefits of owning Agra Ventures security.