Agra Ventures Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0155
| AGFAF Stock | USD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
Agra |
Agra Ventures Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0155
The tendency of Agra Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 57.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agra Ventures to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 57.53 (This Agra Ventures probability density function shows the probability of Agra Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Agra Ventures has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Agra Ventures average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Agra Ventures will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Agra Ventures has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Agra Ventures Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Agra Ventures
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agra Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Agra Ventures Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agra Ventures is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agra Ventures' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agra Ventures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agra Ventures within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Agra Ventures Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agra Ventures for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agra Ventures can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Agra Ventures had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Agra Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Agra Ventures has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Agra Ventures has accumulated 20.13 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.08, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Agra Ventures has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Agra Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Agra Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Agra Ventures sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Agra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Agra Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 928.21 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 213.57 K. | |
| Agra Ventures has accumulated about 1.3 M in cash with (6.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Agra Ventures Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agra Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agra Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agra Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.4 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 23.8 M | |
| Shares Float | 103.3 M |
Agra Ventures Technical Analysis
Agra Ventures' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agra Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agra Ventures. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agra Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Agra Ventures Predictive Forecast Models
Agra Ventures' time-series forecasting models is one of many Agra Ventures' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agra Ventures' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Agra Ventures
Checking the ongoing alerts about Agra Ventures for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agra Ventures help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Agra Ventures had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Agra Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Agra Ventures has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Agra Ventures has accumulated 20.13 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.08, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Agra Ventures has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Agra Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Agra Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Agra Ventures sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Agra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Agra Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 928.21 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 213.57 K. | |
| Agra Ventures has accumulated about 1.3 M in cash with (6.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in Agra Pink Sheet
Agra Ventures financial ratios help investors to determine whether Agra Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Agra with respect to the benefits of owning Agra Ventures security.