Ag Growth Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

AGGZF Stock  USD 37.77  0.15  0.40%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ag Growth International on the next trading day is expected to be 40.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.46. AGGZF Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ag Growth's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Ag Growth polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Ag Growth International as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Ag Growth Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ag Growth International on the next trading day is expected to be 40.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 1.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AGGZF Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ag Growth's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ag Growth Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Ag Growth Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ag Growth's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ag Growth's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.65 and 42.24, respectively. We have considered Ag Growth's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.77
40.44
Expected Value
42.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ag Growth pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ag Growth pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1394
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7945
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0216
SAESum of the absolute errors48.4633
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Ag Growth historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Ag Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ag Growth International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.9737.7739.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.8637.6639.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.8836.4039.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ag Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ag Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ag Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ag Growth International.

Other Forecasting Options for Ag Growth

For every potential investor in AGGZF, whether a beginner or expert, Ag Growth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AGGZF Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AGGZF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ag Growth's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ag Growth International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ag Growth's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ag Growth's current price.

Ag Growth Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ag Growth pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ag Growth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ag Growth pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ag Growth International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ag Growth Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ag Growth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ag Growth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aggzf pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in AGGZF Pink Sheet

Ag Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether AGGZF Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AGGZF with respect to the benefits of owning Ag Growth security.