ETC On Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

AGRU Etf   175.12  0.90  0.52%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ETC on CMCI on the next trading day is expected to be 175.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.82. ETC Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for ETC On works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

ETC On Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ETC on CMCI on the next trading day is expected to be 175.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ETC Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ETC On's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ETC On Etf Forecast Pattern

ETC On Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ETC On's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ETC On's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 174.53 and 175.77, respectively. We have considered ETC On's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
175.12
174.53
Downside
175.15
Expected Value
175.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ETC On etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ETC On etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1153
MADMean absolute deviation0.8614
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.005
SAESum of the absolute errors50.82
When ETC on CMCI prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any ETC on CMCI trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent ETC On observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for ETC On

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ETC on CMCI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
174.50175.12175.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
167.52168.14192.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
173.97174.82175.67
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ETC On

For every potential investor in ETC, whether a beginner or expert, ETC On's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ETC Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ETC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ETC On's price trends.

ETC On Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ETC On etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ETC On could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ETC On by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ETC on CMCI Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ETC On's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ETC On's current price.

ETC On Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ETC On etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ETC On shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ETC On etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ETC on CMCI entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ETC On Risk Indicators

The analysis of ETC On's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ETC On's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting etc etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in ETC Etf

ETC On financial ratios help investors to determine whether ETC Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ETC with respect to the benefits of owning ETC On security.