Akso Health Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

AHG Stock  USD 0.86  0.02  2.27%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Akso Health Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.70. Akso Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Akso Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At this time, Akso Health's Inventory Turnover is most likely to increase in the upcoming years. The Akso Health's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 107.59, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 1.87. . The Akso Health's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 49.5 M, while Net Loss is projected to decrease to (1.3 M).
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Akso Health Group is based on a synthetically constructed Akso Healthdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Akso Health 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Akso Health Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Akso Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Akso Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Akso Health Stock Forecast Pattern

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Akso Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Akso Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Akso Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.20, respectively. We have considered Akso Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.86
0.90
Expected Value
9.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Akso Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Akso Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria78.7178
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0408
MADMean absolute deviation0.0881
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0929
SAESum of the absolute errors3.6995
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Akso Health Group 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Akso Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akso Health Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.869.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.779.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Akso Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Akso Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Akso Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Akso Health Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Akso Health

For every potential investor in Akso, whether a beginner or expert, Akso Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Akso Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Akso. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Akso Health's price trends.

Akso Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Akso Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Akso Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Akso Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Akso Health Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Akso Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Akso Health's current price.

Akso Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Akso Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Akso Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Akso Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Akso Health Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Akso Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Akso Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Akso Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting akso stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Akso Health Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Akso Health's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Akso Health's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Akso Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Akso Health to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Akso Health. If investors know Akso will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Akso Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.21)
Revenue Per Share
0.051
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.148
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(0.12)
The market value of Akso Health Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Akso that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Akso Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Akso Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Akso Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Akso Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Akso Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Akso Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Akso Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.