American Healthcare Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| AHR Stock | 46.91 0.31 0.66% |
American Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of American Healthcare's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Healthcare, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using American Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Healthcare REIT from the perspective of American Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of American Healthcare REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 46.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.54. American Healthcare after-hype prediction price | USD 46.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Healthcare to cross-verify your projections. American Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Healthcare Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of American Healthcare REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 46.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Healthcare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
American Healthcare Stock Forecast Pattern
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American Healthcare Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting American Healthcare's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Healthcare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.50 and 48.32, respectively. We have considered American Healthcare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Healthcare stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Healthcare stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8589 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0111 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5347 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0112 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.545 |
Predictive Modules for American Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Healthcare REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Healthcare After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Healthcare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Healthcare's historical news coverage. American Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.50 and 48.32, respectively. We have considered American Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Healthcare is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Healthcare REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Healthcare Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.41 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
46.91 | 46.91 | 0.00 |
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American Healthcare Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February American Healthcare REIT is traded for 46.91. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. American is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Healthcare is about 815.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.92. About 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of American Healthcare was presently reported as 15.66. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Healthcare to cross-verify your projections.American Healthcare Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how American Healthcare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTRE | CareTrust REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.02 | 0.06 | 1.61 | (1.80) | 4.12 | |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.75 | (1.90) | 4.39 | |
| NNN | National Retail Properties | 0.34 | 10 per month | 1.01 | (0.01) | 1.58 | (1.44) | 4.54 | |
| DLR | Digital Realty Trust | (0.94) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.30 | (2.77) | 6.11 | |
| ADC | Agree Realty | 0.18 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.24 | (1.65) | 3.97 | |
| BRX | Brixmor Property | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.72 | (2.06) | 4.13 | |
| FR | First Industrial Realty | 0.19 | 9 per month | 0.81 | 0.01 | 1.93 | (1.43) | 4.65 | |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | (0.13) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.88 | (2.94) | 9.20 | |
| STAG | STAG Industrial | 0.25 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.27 | (1.35) | 4.09 | |
| FRT | Federal Realty Investment | 1.95 | 9 per month | 0.98 | (0.02) | 1.58 | (1.64) | 4.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for American Healthcare
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Healthcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Healthcare's price trends.American Healthcare Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Healthcare stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Healthcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Healthcare Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Healthcare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Healthcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Healthcare stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Healthcare REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
American Healthcare Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Healthcare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9819 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 1.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.04) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for American Healthcare
The number of cover stories for American Healthcare depends on current market conditions and American Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American Healthcare Short Properties
American Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Healthcare REIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.7 M |
Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure American Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of American Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.