IShares Asia Etf Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AIA Etf | USD 109.36 2.57 2.30% |
IShares Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast IShares Asia stock prices and determine the direction of iShares Asia 50's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of IShares Asia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of IShares Asia's etf price is about 63. This suggests that the etf is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling IShares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using IShares Asia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of iShares Asia 50 from the perspective of IShares Asia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IShares Asia using IShares Asia's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IShares Asia's stock price.
IShares Asia Implied Volatility | 0.27 |
IShares Asia's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of iShares Asia 50 stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IShares Asia's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IShares Asia stock will not fluctuate a lot when IShares Asia's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iShares Asia 50 on the next trading day is expected to be 109.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.31. IShares Asia after-hype prediction price | USD 109.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IShares Asia to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that iShares Asia 50 will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0169% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With IShares Asia trading at USD 109.36, that is roughly USD 0.0185 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IShares Asia's daily price movement you should consider acquiring iShares Asia 50 options at the current volatility level of 0.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 IShares Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast IShares Asia's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in IShares Asia's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for IShares Asia stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current IShares Asia's open interest, investors have to compare it to IShares Asia's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of IShares Asia is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in IShares. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
IShares Asia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze IShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IShares Asia Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iShares Asia 50 on the next trading day is expected to be 109.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96, mean absolute percentage error of 1.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IShares Asia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IShares Asia Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IShares Asia | IShares Asia Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
IShares Asia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IShares Asia's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IShares Asia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 108.13 and 110.59, respectively. We have considered IShares Asia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IShares Asia etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IShares Asia etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7221 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2065 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9552 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0095 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 57.31 |
Predictive Modules for IShares Asia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares Asia 50. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IShares Asia After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IShares Asia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IShares Asia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of IShares Asia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IShares Asia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IShares Asia's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IShares Asia's historical news coverage. IShares Asia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 108.19 and 110.65, respectively. We have considered IShares Asia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IShares Asia is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iShares Asia 50 is based on 3 months time horizon.
IShares Asia Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as IShares Asia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IShares Asia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IShares Asia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.23 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
109.36 | 109.42 | 0.05 |
|
IShares Asia Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February iShares Asia 50 is traded for 109.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. IShares is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 109.42 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on IShares Asia is about 383.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 109.43. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IShares Asia to cross-verify your projections.IShares Asia Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IShares Asia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IShares Asia's future price movements. Getting to know how IShares Asia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IShares Asia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IWC | iShares Micro Cap ETF | 1.59 | 3 per month | 1.43 | 0.04 | 2.13 | (1.92) | 5.01 | |
| IYE | iShares Energy ETF | 0.60 | 5 per month | 0.98 | 0.15 | 2.15 | (1.40) | 5.02 | |
| KXI | iShares Global Consumer | 0.29 | 2 per month | 0.46 | 0.05 | 1.16 | (0.81) | 2.65 | |
| IHAK | iShares Cybersecurity and | 0.25 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.65 | (2.05) | 5.13 | |
| HEZU | iShares Currency Hedged | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.67 | 0.05 | 1.28 | (1.22) | 4.61 | |
| SUSL | iShares ESG MSCI | 0.47 | 3 per month | 0.90 | (0.01) | 1.05 | (1.49) | 4.12 | |
| IHF | iShares Healthcare Providers | 0.69 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.08 | (1.82) | 12.04 | |
| DVYE | iShares Emerging Markets | (0.19) | 4 per month | 0.56 | 0.19 | 1.24 | (1.16) | 2.59 | |
| IGRO | iShares International Dividend | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.50 | 0.09 | 0.93 | (0.97) | 2.76 | |
| EXI | iShares Global Industrials | (0.56) | 4 per month | 0.72 | 0.08 | 1.36 | (1.31) | 3.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for IShares Asia
For every potential investor in IShares, whether a beginner or expert, IShares Asia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IShares Asia's price trends.IShares Asia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IShares Asia etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IShares Asia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IShares Asia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IShares Asia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IShares Asia etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IShares Asia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IShares Asia etf market strength indicators, traders can identify iShares Asia 50 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0247 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.93) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 110.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 109.89 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.76 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.57) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 63.43 |
IShares Asia Risk Indicators
The analysis of IShares Asia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IShares Asia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ishares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9817 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9768 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Variance | 1.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9541 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IShares Asia
The number of cover stories for IShares Asia depends on current market conditions and IShares Asia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IShares Asia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IShares Asia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IShares Asia to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
iShares Asia 50's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on IShares's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate IShares Asia's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since IShares Asia's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that IShares Asia's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether IShares Asia represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, IShares Asia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.