Aurubis AG Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AIAGF Stock | USD 145.83 0.00 0.00% |
Aurubis Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Aurubis AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Aurubis AG's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aurubis AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aurubis AG from the perspective of Aurubis AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aurubis AG on the next trading day is expected to be 145.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.99. Aurubis AG after-hype prediction price | USD 145.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aurubis |
Aurubis AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aurubis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aurubis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aurubis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aurubis AG Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aurubis AG on the next trading day is expected to be 145.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 3.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aurubis Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aurubis AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aurubis AG Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aurubis AG | Aurubis AG Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Aurubis AG Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aurubis AG's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aurubis AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 144.32 and 147.34, respectively. We have considered Aurubis AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aurubis AG pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aurubis AG pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5824 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3498 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3498 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0025 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.99 |
Predictive Modules for Aurubis AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aurubis AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aurubis AG After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aurubis AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aurubis AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Aurubis AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aurubis AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aurubis AG's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aurubis AG's historical news coverage. Aurubis AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 144.32 and 147.34, respectively. We have considered Aurubis AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aurubis AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aurubis AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aurubis AG Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aurubis AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aurubis AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aurubis AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.51 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
145.83 | 145.83 | 0.00 |
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Aurubis AG Hype Timeline
Aurubis AG is presently traded for 145.83. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Aurubis is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aurubis AG is about 1572.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 145.86. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.87. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aurubis AG recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aurubis AG to cross-verify your projections.Aurubis AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aurubis AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aurubis AG's future price movements. Getting to know how Aurubis AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aurubis AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KBSTF | Kobe Steel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.22 | 4.72 | 0.00 | 12.43 | |
| PUTKF | PT United Tractors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.87 | |
| JMPLY | Johnson Matthey PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.08 | 2.40 | (2.67) | 8.40 | |
| PUTKY | United Tractors Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.76 | 0 | 4.03 | (4.43) | 18.16 | |
| XZJCF | Mitsui Mining Smelting | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZIJMY | Zijin Mining Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.01 | 0.08 | 5.00 | (4.34) | 20.01 | |
| CSCCF | Capstone Copper Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.63 | 0.09 | 7.05 | (6.41) | 19.37 | |
| BCHMF | Bachem Holding AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.96 | |
| COIHY | Croda International PLC | 0.96 | 50 per month | 1.37 | 0.01 | 2.84 | (2.59) | 6.40 | |
| MMSMY | Mitsui Mining and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.25 | 0.06 | 9.85 | (10.12) | 32.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aurubis AG
For every potential investor in Aurubis, whether a beginner or expert, Aurubis AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aurubis Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aurubis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aurubis AG's price trends.Aurubis AG Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aurubis AG pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aurubis AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aurubis AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aurubis AG Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aurubis AG pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aurubis AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aurubis AG pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Aurubis AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 145.83 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 145.83 |
Aurubis AG Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aurubis AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aurubis AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aurubis pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4683 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Variance | 2.07 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aurubis AG
The number of cover stories for Aurubis AG depends on current market conditions and Aurubis AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aurubis AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aurubis AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Aurubis Pink Sheet
Aurubis AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aurubis Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aurubis with respect to the benefits of owning Aurubis AG security.