WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| AIGAP Stock | EUR 4.94 0.03 0.61% |
WISDOMTREE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE from the perspective of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE on the next trading day is expected to be 4.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.37. WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE after-hype prediction price | USD 4.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
WISDOMTREE |
WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine WISDOMTREE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for WISDOMTREE using various technical indicators. When you analyze WISDOMTREE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE on the next trading day is expected to be 4.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WISDOMTREE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE Stock Forecast Pattern
WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.54 and 5.43, respectively. We have considered WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7636 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0383 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0076 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.3744 |
Predictive Modules for WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.94 | 4.94 | 0.00 |
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WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE Hype Timeline
WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE is presently traded for 4.94on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. WISDOMTREE is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE is about 64.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.98. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out fundamental analysis of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE to check your projections.WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's future price movements. Getting to know how WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MC | LVMH Mot Hennessy | 0.20 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.43 | (2.34) | 10.66 | |
| RMS | Hermes International SCA | 10.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.07 | (2.12) | 7.50 | |
| OR | LOreal SA | (1.05) | 1 per month | 0.93 | 0.07 | 2.01 | (1.64) | 7.60 | |
| MTU | Manitou BF SA | 0.24 | 3 per month | 0.77 | 0.15 | 2.93 | (1.85) | 19.11 | |
| MEMS | Memscap Regpt | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | 0.04 | 3.88 | (3.73) | 16.81 | |
| MAAT | Maat Pharma SA | 1.32 | 2 per month | 3.55 | 0.16 | 9.68 | (6.46) | 26.84 | |
| ALECR | Eurofins Cerep SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.50 | |
| POXEL | Poxel SA | (0.03) | 2 per month | 5.18 | 0.04 | 15.15 | (11.43) | 84.17 | |
| ERA | Eramet SA | (3.70) | 3 per month | 3.51 | 0.07 | 6.49 | (6.31) | 17.43 | |
| SRICD | BNP Paribas Easy | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.11 | (0.50) | 0.21 | (0.21) | 0.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE
For every potential investor in WISDOMTREE, whether a beginner or expert, WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WISDOMTREE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WISDOMTREE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's price trends.WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE Risk Indicators
The analysis of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wisdomtree stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2148 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.431 | |||
| Variance | 0.1858 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE
The number of cover stories for WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE depends on current market conditions and WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for WISDOMTREE Stock Analysis
When running WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's price analysis, check to measure WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE is operating at the current time. Most of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WISDOMTREE AGRICULTURE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.