AIRA Capital Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

AIRA Stock  THB 1.12  0.09  8.74%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AIRA Capital Public on the next trading day is expected to be 1.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.63. AIRA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for AIRA Capital is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

AIRA Capital Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AIRA Capital Public on the next trading day is expected to be 1.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AIRA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AIRA Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AIRA Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

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AIRA Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AIRA Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AIRA Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 128.02, respectively. We have considered AIRA Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.12
1.12
Expected Value
128.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AIRA Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AIRA Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.0141
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0086
MADMean absolute deviation0.0275
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0214
SAESum of the absolute errors1.625
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of AIRA Capital Public price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of AIRA Capital. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for AIRA Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AIRA Capital Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.12113.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.20113.20
Details

Other Forecasting Options for AIRA Capital

For every potential investor in AIRA, whether a beginner or expert, AIRA Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AIRA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AIRA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AIRA Capital's price trends.

AIRA Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AIRA Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AIRA Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AIRA Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AIRA Capital Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AIRA Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AIRA Capital's current price.

AIRA Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AIRA Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AIRA Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AIRA Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AIRA Capital Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AIRA Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of AIRA Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AIRA Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aira stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in AIRA Stock

AIRA Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether AIRA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AIRA with respect to the benefits of owning AIRA Capital security.