Aurion Resources OTC Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Aurion Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aurion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aurion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aurion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Aurion Resources - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Aurion Resources prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Aurion Resources price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Aurion Resources.

Aurion Resources Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aurion Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 1.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.67.

Aurion Resources OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Aurion Resources

Aurion Resources Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Aurion Resources Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aurion Resources otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aurion Resources otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Aurion Resources observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Aurion Resources observations.

Predictive Modules for Aurion Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aurion Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.05 1.09 4.82 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.05 1.01 4.75 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.95 1.06 1.17 Details

Aurion Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Aurion Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Aurion Resources OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Aurion Resources Hype Timeline

Aurion Resources is presently traded for 1.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aurion is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.76%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aurion Resources is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.09. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.08. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aurion Resources recorded a loss per share of 0.05. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aurion Resources to cross-verify your projections.

Aurion Resources Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Aurion Resources

For every potential investor in Aurion, whether a beginner or expert, Aurion Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aurion OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aurion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aurion Resources' price trends.

Aurion Resources Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Aurion Resources Market Strength Events

Aurion Resources Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Aurion Resources

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in Aurion OTC Stock