Apartment Investment Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AIV Stock | USD 5.89 0.02 0.34% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Apartment Investment and on the next trading day is expected to be 5.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.00. Apartment Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Apartment Investment's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.63) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.45) | Wall Street Target Price 6.7 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.12) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Apartment Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Apartment Investment and from the perspective of Apartment Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Apartment Investment using Apartment Investment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Apartment using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Apartment Investment's stock price.
Apartment Investment Implied Volatility | 1.1 |
Apartment Investment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Apartment Investment and stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Apartment Investment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Apartment Investment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Apartment Investment's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Apartment Investment and on the next trading day is expected to be 5.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.00. Apartment Investment after-hype prediction price | USD 5.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Apartment | Build AI portfolio with Apartment Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Apartment Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Apartment Investment's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Apartment Investment's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Apartment Investment stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Apartment Investment's open interest, investors have to compare it to Apartment Investment's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Apartment Investment is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Apartment. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Apartment Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Apartment price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apartment using various technical indicators. When you analyze Apartment charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Apartment Investment's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1996-06-30 | Previous Quarter 41.4 M | Current Value 404.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 94.6 M |
Apartment Investment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Apartment Investment and on the next trading day is expected to be 5.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apartment Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apartment Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Apartment Investment Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Apartment Investment | Apartment Investment Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Apartment Investment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Apartment Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Apartment Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.36 and 7.02, respectively. We have considered Apartment Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apartment Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apartment Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2635 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0806 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0142 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.9951 |
Predictive Modules for Apartment Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apartment Investment and. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Apartment Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Apartment Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Apartment Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Apartment Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Apartment Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Apartment Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Apartment Investment's historical news coverage. Apartment Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.56 and 7.22, respectively. We have considered Apartment Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Apartment Investment is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apartment Investment and is based on 3 months time horizon.
Apartment Investment Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Apartment Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Apartment Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Apartment Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.89 | 5.89 | 0.00 |
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Apartment Investment Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January Apartment Investment and is traded for 5.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Apartment is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Apartment Investment is about 3861.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.89. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.9. Apartment Investment and last dividend was issued on the 16th of October 2025. The entity had 9295:1000 split on the 15th of December 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apartment Investment to cross-verify your projections.Apartment Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Apartment Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Apartment Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Apartment Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Apartment Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NXRT | Nexpoint Residential Trust | 0.07 | 5 per month | 1.61 | (0.02) | 2.80 | (2.90) | 8.15 | |
| RWT | Redwood Trust | (0.06) | 11 per month | 1.45 | 0.02 | 3.26 | (2.72) | 8.72 | |
| MITT | AG Mortgage Investment | 0.07 | 10 per month | 0.87 | 0.18 | 2.80 | (1.66) | 10.23 | |
| BRSP | Brightspire Capital | (0.06) | 17 per month | 0.67 | 0.13 | 2.26 | (1.54) | 4.36 | |
| BFS | Saul Centers | (0.28) | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0.02 | 1.71 | (1.72) | 4.95 | |
| LAND | Gladstone Land | (0.05) | 1 per month | 1.17 | 0.04 | 2.26 | (1.75) | 8.20 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | 0.43 | 10 per month | 0.78 | 0.15 | 1.74 | (1.57) | 4.98 | |
| AHH | Armada Hflr Pr | 0.17 | 9 per month | 1.58 | (0) | 3.16 | (2.97) | 7.04 | |
| TRTX | TPG RE Finance | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.05 | 2.00 | (1.65) | 6.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Apartment Investment
For every potential investor in Apartment, whether a beginner or expert, Apartment Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Apartment Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Apartment. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Apartment Investment's price trends.Apartment Investment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Apartment Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Apartment Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apartment Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Apartment Investment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apartment Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apartment Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apartment Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Apartment Investment and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11079.74 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.91 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.9 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
Apartment Investment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Apartment Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apartment Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apartment stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8934 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8629 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Variance | 1.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7446 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Apartment Investment
The number of cover stories for Apartment Investment depends on current market conditions and Apartment Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Apartment Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Apartment Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Apartment Investment Short Properties
Apartment Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Apartment Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Apartment Investment and often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Apartment Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apartment Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 141.1 M |
Additional Tools for Apartment Stock Analysis
When running Apartment Investment's price analysis, check to measure Apartment Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apartment Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Apartment Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apartment Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apartment Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apartment Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.