AIXTRON SE Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AIXXF Stock | USD 25.25 0.65 2.64% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of AIXTRON SE on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.93. AIXTRON Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AIXTRON SE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of AIXTRON SE's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AIXTRON SE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AIXTRON SE from the perspective of AIXTRON SE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of AIXTRON SE on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.93. AIXTRON SE after-hype prediction price | USD 25.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AIXTRON |
AIXTRON SE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AIXTRON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AIXTRON using various technical indicators. When you analyze AIXTRON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AIXTRON SE Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of AIXTRON SE on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AIXTRON Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AIXTRON SE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AIXTRON SE Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AIXTRON SE | AIXTRON SE Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
AIXTRON SE Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AIXTRON SE's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AIXTRON SE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.33 and 29.03, respectively. We have considered AIXTRON SE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AIXTRON SE pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AIXTRON SE pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8464 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7201 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0348 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 43.9258 |
Predictive Modules for AIXTRON SE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AIXTRON SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AIXTRON SE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AIXTRON SE After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AIXTRON SE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AIXTRON SE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of AIXTRON SE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AIXTRON SE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AIXTRON SE's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AIXTRON SE's historical news coverage. AIXTRON SE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.90 and 29.60, respectively. We have considered AIXTRON SE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AIXTRON SE is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AIXTRON SE is based on 3 months time horizon.
AIXTRON SE Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AIXTRON SE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AIXTRON SE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AIXTRON SE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.92 | 4.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.25 | 25.25 | 0.00 |
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AIXTRON SE Hype Timeline
AIXTRON SE is presently traded for 25.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AIXTRON is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.92%. %. The volatility of related hype on AIXTRON SE is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.25. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.48. AIXTRON SE last dividend was issued on the 27th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AIXTRON SE to cross-verify your projections.AIXTRON SE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AIXTRON SE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AIXTRON SE's future price movements. Getting to know how AIXTRON SE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AIXTRON SE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SLOIF | Soitec SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.10 | (7.70) | 32.00 | |
| SLOIY | Soitec SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.28 | |
| AWEVF | Alphawave IP Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.40 | (12.83) | 44.10 | |
| VTKLY | VTech Holdings Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.37 | (3.72) | 15.03 | |
| SSLLF | Siltronic AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.75 | |
| JELLF | JEOL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DNACF | DeNA Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.67 | 0.00 | 24.64 | |
| SILXF | Silex Systems Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.32 | (7.05) | 36.94 | |
| APELF | Alps Alpine Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VTKLF | Vtech Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | (0.51) | 6.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for AIXTRON SE
For every potential investor in AIXTRON, whether a beginner or expert, AIXTRON SE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AIXTRON Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AIXTRON. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AIXTRON SE's price trends.AIXTRON SE Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AIXTRON SE pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AIXTRON SE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AIXTRON SE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AIXTRON SE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AIXTRON SE pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AIXTRON SE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AIXTRON SE pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify AIXTRON SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
AIXTRON SE Risk Indicators
The analysis of AIXTRON SE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AIXTRON SE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aixtron pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.35 | |||
| Variance | 18.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.18 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AIXTRON SE
The number of cover stories for AIXTRON SE depends on current market conditions and AIXTRON SE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AIXTRON SE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AIXTRON SE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in AIXTRON Pink Sheet
AIXTRON SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether AIXTRON Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AIXTRON with respect to the benefits of owning AIXTRON SE security.