DocCheck Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| AJ91 Stock | EUR 12.60 0.40 3.08% |
DocCheck Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of DocCheck's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the rsi of DocCheck's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.094 |
Using DocCheck hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DocCheck AG from the perspective of DocCheck response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DocCheck AG on the next trading day is expected to be 12.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.30. DocCheck after-hype prediction price | EUR 12.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
DocCheck |
DocCheck Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DocCheck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DocCheck using various technical indicators. When you analyze DocCheck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
DocCheck Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DocCheck AG on the next trading day is expected to be 12.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DocCheck Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DocCheck's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DocCheck Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DocCheck | DocCheck Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
DocCheck Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting DocCheck's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DocCheck's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.64 and 14.56, respectively. We have considered DocCheck's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DocCheck stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DocCheck stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0085 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1576 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0132 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.3 |
Predictive Modules for DocCheck
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DocCheck AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DocCheck After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DocCheck at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DocCheck or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DocCheck, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DocCheck Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DocCheck's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DocCheck's historical news coverage. DocCheck's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.62 and 14.54, respectively. We have considered DocCheck's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DocCheck is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DocCheck AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
DocCheck Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DocCheck is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DocCheck backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DocCheck, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.96 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.60 | 12.58 | 0.16 |
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DocCheck Hype Timeline
DocCheck AG is presently traded for 12.60on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. DocCheck is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on DocCheck is about 290.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.66. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.65. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. DocCheck AG last dividend was issued on the 29th of May 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DocCheck to cross-verify your projections.DocCheck Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DocCheck's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DocCheck's future price movements. Getting to know how DocCheck's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DocCheck may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ISHA | INTERSHOP Communications Aktiengesellschaft | 0.03 | 3 per month | 2.75 | 0.04 | 6.35 | (5.22) | 17.08 | |
| EV9 | Entravision Communications | 0.00 | 10 per month | 2.08 | 0.15 | 8.06 | (4.23) | 30.72 | |
| PFX1 | Perma Fix Environmental Services | 0.1 | 7 per month | 3.66 | 0.03 | 5.36 | (5.98) | 26.97 | |
| SMA | SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings | 0.01 | 5 per month | 1.81 | 0 | 1.96 | (1.92) | 13.96 | |
| RS6 | RELIANCE STEEL AL | 1.00 | 1 per month | 0.60 | 0.19 | 2.76 | (1.42) | 4.30 | |
| CQD | Charter Communications | 3.20 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.82 | (4.85) | 16.05 | |
| DDL | Daido Steel Co | (0.15) | 5 per month | 1.53 | 0.21 | 5.56 | (3.57) | 16.60 | |
| Z2J | Worthington Steel | 1.20 | 4 per month | 2.01 | 0.18 | 4.65 | (3.44) | 14.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for DocCheck
For every potential investor in DocCheck, whether a beginner or expert, DocCheck's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DocCheck Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DocCheck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DocCheck's price trends.DocCheck Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DocCheck stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DocCheck could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DocCheck by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DocCheck Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DocCheck stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DocCheck shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DocCheck stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DocCheck AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
DocCheck Risk Indicators
The analysis of DocCheck's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DocCheck's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting doccheck stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Variance | 3.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.53 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for DocCheck
The number of cover stories for DocCheck depends on current market conditions and DocCheck's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DocCheck is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DocCheck's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in DocCheck Stock
DocCheck financial ratios help investors to determine whether DocCheck Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DocCheck with respect to the benefits of owning DocCheck security.