Akebia Ther Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AKBA Stock | USD 2.05 0.12 6.22% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Akebia Ther on the next trading day is expected to be 2.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.44. Akebia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Akebia Ther stock prices and determine the direction of Akebia Ther's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Akebia Ther's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Akebia |
Akebia Ther Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Akebia Ther on the next trading day is expected to be 2.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Akebia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Akebia Ther's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Akebia Ther Stock Forecast Pattern
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Akebia Ther Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Akebia Ther's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Akebia Ther's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.02, respectively. We have considered Akebia Ther's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Akebia Ther stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Akebia Ther stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.6804 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0107 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0407 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0249 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.44 |
Predictive Modules for Akebia Ther
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akebia Ther. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Akebia Ther
For every potential investor in Akebia, whether a beginner or expert, Akebia Ther's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Akebia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Akebia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Akebia Ther's price trends.Akebia Ther Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Akebia Ther stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Akebia Ther could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Akebia Ther by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Akebia Ther Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Akebia Ther's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Akebia Ther's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Akebia Ther Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Akebia Ther stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Akebia Ther shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Akebia Ther stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Akebia Ther entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 371275.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.02 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.11 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.12 |
Akebia Ther Risk Indicators
The analysis of Akebia Ther's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Akebia Ther's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting akebia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Variance | 14.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Akebia Ther offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Akebia Ther's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Akebia Ther Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Akebia Ther Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Akebia Ther to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Akebia Stock refer to our How to Trade Akebia Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Akebia Ther. If investors know Akebia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Akebia Ther listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.22) | Revenue Per Share 0.834 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets (0.09) | Return On Equity (5.53) |
The market value of Akebia Ther is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Akebia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Akebia Ther's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Akebia Ther's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Akebia Ther's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Akebia Ther's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Akebia Ther's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Akebia Ther is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Akebia Ther's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.