ALK Abell Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AKBLF Stock | USD 36.10 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ALK Abell AS on the next trading day is expected to be 35.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.11. ALK Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ALK Abell's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of ALK Abell's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ALK Abell hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ALK Abell AS from the perspective of ALK Abell response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ALK Abell AS on the next trading day is expected to be 35.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.11. ALK Abell after-hype prediction price | USD 36.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ALK |
ALK Abell Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ALK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ALK using various technical indicators. When you analyze ALK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ALK Abell Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ALK Abell AS on the next trading day is expected to be 35.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ALK Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ALK Abell's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ALK Abell Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ALK Abell | ALK Abell Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ALK Abell Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ALK Abell's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ALK Abell's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.96 and 36.80, respectively. We have considered ALK Abell's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ALK Abell pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ALK Abell pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8448 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2477 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0071 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.112 |
Predictive Modules for ALK Abell
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ALK Abell AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ALK Abell After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ALK Abell at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ALK Abell or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of ALK Abell, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ALK Abell Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ALK Abell's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ALK Abell's historical news coverage. ALK Abell's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.31 and 37.15, respectively. We have considered ALK Abell's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ALK Abell is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ALK Abell AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
ALK Abell Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ALK Abell is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ALK Abell backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ALK Abell, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 0.92 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.10 | 36.23 | 0.36 |
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ALK Abell Hype Timeline
ALK Abell AS is presently traded for 36.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. ALK is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.23 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 127.78%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on ALK Abell is about 448.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.14. The company reported the revenue of 4.51 B. Net Income was 335 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.82 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ALK Abell to cross-verify your projections.ALK Abell Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ALK Abell's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ALK Abell's future price movements. Getting to know how ALK Abell's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ALK Abell may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LABFF | Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Rovi | 0.72 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZLDPF | Zealand Pharma AS | 0.72 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.14 | (5.39) | 21.96 | |
| SHJBF | Shanghai Junshi Biosciences | 0.72 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.31 | |
| INCPF | InnoCare Pharma Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.14 | |
| GNNSF | Genscript Biotech | (0.11) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.00 | (1.72) | 36.61 | |
| CAMRF | Camurus AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 0.00 | (0.04) | 18.53 | |
| CLCGY | Clicks Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.18 | (2.57) | 6.80 | |
| FLMNY | Fielmann Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.11 | |
| GNGBF | Getinge AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.85 | |
| CSMYF | COSMOS Pharmaceutical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for ALK Abell
For every potential investor in ALK, whether a beginner or expert, ALK Abell's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ALK Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ALK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ALK Abell's price trends.ALK Abell Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ALK Abell pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ALK Abell could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ALK Abell by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ALK Abell Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ALK Abell pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ALK Abell shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ALK Abell pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ALK Abell AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ALK Abell Risk Indicators
The analysis of ALK Abell's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ALK Abell's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alk pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3766 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.897 | |||
| Variance | 0.8047 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ALK Abell
The number of cover stories for ALK Abell depends on current market conditions and ALK Abell's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ALK Abell is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ALK Abell's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in ALK Pink Sheet
ALK Abell financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALK Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALK with respect to the benefits of owning ALK Abell security.