Bourrelier Group Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ALBOU Stock | EUR 41.60 2.40 5.45% |
Bourrelier Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Bourrelier Group's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Bourrelier Group's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Bourrelier Group fundamentals over time.
The value of RSI of Bourrelier Group's stock price is slightly above 63. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bourrelier, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.692 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Bourrelier Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bourrelier Group SA from the perspective of Bourrelier Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bourrelier Group SA on the next trading day is expected to be 41.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.10. Bourrelier Group after-hype prediction price | EUR 41.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bourrelier |
Bourrelier Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bourrelier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bourrelier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bourrelier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bourrelier Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 22nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bourrelier Group SA on the next trading day is expected to be 41.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 1.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bourrelier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bourrelier Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bourrelier Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bourrelier Group | Bourrelier Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bourrelier Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bourrelier Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bourrelier Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.58 and 44.62, respectively. We have considered Bourrelier Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bourrelier Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bourrelier Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.758 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0817 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.685 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0162 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.1 |
Predictive Modules for Bourrelier Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bourrelier Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bourrelier Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bourrelier Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bourrelier Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bourrelier Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bourrelier Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bourrelier Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bourrelier Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bourrelier Group's historical news coverage. Bourrelier Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.58 and 44.62, respectively. We have considered Bourrelier Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bourrelier Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bourrelier Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bourrelier Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bourrelier Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bourrelier Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bourrelier Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 3.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
41.60 | 41.60 | 0.00 |
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Bourrelier Group Hype Timeline
Bourrelier Group is presently traded for 41.60on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bourrelier is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bourrelier Group is about 60400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.60. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.76. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bourrelier Group last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2024. The entity had 98163:89239 split on the 21st of April 2011. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bourrelier Group to cross-verify your projections.Bourrelier Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bourrelier Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bourrelier Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Bourrelier Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bourrelier Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EFG | Eagle Football Group | 0.03 | 2 per month | 1.47 | 0.06 | 2.60 | (2.47) | 7.71 | |
| AKW | Akwel SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.34 | (2.23) | 5.06 | |
| ALDLT | Delta Plus Group | 0.20 | 3 per month | 1.37 | 0.05 | 2.69 | (1.91) | 12.13 | |
| MLCMB | Compagnie Du Mont Blanc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.76 | (2.68) | 6.97 | |
| FCMC | Ferm Casino Mun | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 2.80 | (0.96) | 31.94 | |
| CRI | Chargeurs SA | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.77 | (0.02) | 2.15 | (1.50) | 8.30 | |
| RBO | Roche Bobois | (0.10) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.64 | (3.28) | 7.90 | |
| ALHEX | Hexaom | (0.20) | 2 per month | 1.16 | 0.08 | 2.43 | (1.95) | 7.43 | |
| MDM | Maisons du Monde | 0.05 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.26 | (4.19) | 11.55 | |
| ALMRB | Mr Bricolage | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.13 | (3.30) | 10.23 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bourrelier Group
For every potential investor in Bourrelier, whether a beginner or expert, Bourrelier Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bourrelier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bourrelier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bourrelier Group's price trends.Bourrelier Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bourrelier Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bourrelier Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bourrelier Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bourrelier Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bourrelier Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bourrelier Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bourrelier Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bourrelier Group SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bourrelier Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bourrelier Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bourrelier Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bourrelier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.01 | |||
| Variance | 9.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 36.83 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.48) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bourrelier Group
The number of cover stories for Bourrelier Group depends on current market conditions and Bourrelier Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bourrelier Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bourrelier Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bourrelier Group Short Properties
Bourrelier Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bourrelier Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bourrelier Group SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bourrelier Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bourrelier Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 176.1 M |
Additional Tools for Bourrelier Stock Analysis
When running Bourrelier Group's price analysis, check to measure Bourrelier Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bourrelier Group is operating at the current time. Most of Bourrelier Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bourrelier Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bourrelier Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bourrelier Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.