Kiplin Metals Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ALDVF Stock | USD 0.18 0.00 0.00% |
Kiplin Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Kiplin Metals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Kiplin Metals' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kiplin Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kiplin Metals from the perspective of Kiplin Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kiplin Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.18. Kiplin Metals after-hype prediction price | USD 0.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kiplin |
Kiplin Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kiplin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kiplin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kiplin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kiplin Metals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kiplin Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00008, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kiplin Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kiplin Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kiplin Metals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kiplin Metals | Kiplin Metals Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Kiplin Metals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kiplin Metals' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kiplin Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.98, respectively. We have considered Kiplin Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kiplin Metals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kiplin Metals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.8391 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0017 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.003 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0147 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.18 |
Predictive Modules for Kiplin Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kiplin Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kiplin Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kiplin Metals After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kiplin Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kiplin Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kiplin Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kiplin Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kiplin Metals' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kiplin Metals' historical news coverage. Kiplin Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 3.98, respectively. We have considered Kiplin Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kiplin Metals is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kiplin Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kiplin Metals Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kiplin Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kiplin Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kiplin Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.66 | 3.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.18 | 0.18 | 0.00 |
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Kiplin Metals Hype Timeline
Kiplin Metals is presently traded for 0.18. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kiplin is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.66%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kiplin Metals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.18. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Kiplin Metals last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2020. The entity had 2:5 split on the 13th of February 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kiplin Metals to cross-verify your projections.Kiplin Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kiplin Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kiplin Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Kiplin Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kiplin Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RGVNF | Regent Ventures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TSGZF | Tristar Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.46 | 0.19 | 9.09 | (8.33) | 31.93 | |
| RCGCF | Roscan Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.02 | 0.20 | 11.37 | (7.79) | 37.19 | |
| EQTRF | Altamira Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.14 | (5.88) | 26.32 | |
| YGTFF | Gold Terra Resource | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.35 | 0.16 | 22.91 | (10.53) | 62.50 | |
| RDGMF | Ridgeline Minerals Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 11.11 | (9.09) | 40.97 | |
| ENDGF | Endurance Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.72 | 0.17 | 18.18 | (8.62) | 63.74 | |
| RGCCF | Relevant Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.86 | 0.03 | 9.09 | (7.14) | 23.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kiplin Metals
For every potential investor in Kiplin, whether a beginner or expert, Kiplin Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kiplin Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kiplin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kiplin Metals' price trends.Kiplin Metals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kiplin Metals pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kiplin Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kiplin Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kiplin Metals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kiplin Metals pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kiplin Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kiplin Metals pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Kiplin Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kiplin Metals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kiplin Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kiplin Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kiplin pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.17 | |||
| Variance | 38.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 143.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (15.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kiplin Metals
The number of cover stories for Kiplin Metals depends on current market conditions and Kiplin Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kiplin Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kiplin Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Kiplin Pink Sheet
Kiplin Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kiplin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kiplin with respect to the benefits of owning Kiplin Metals security.