Allied Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

ALEDY Stock  USD 5.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Allied Group Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 5.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Allied Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Allied Group's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Allied Group's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Allied Group Ltd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Allied Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Allied Group Ltd from the perspective of Allied Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Allied Group Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 5.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Allied Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Allied Group to cross-verify your projections.

Allied Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Allied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Allied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Allied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Allied Group price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Allied Group Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Allied Group Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 5.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Allied Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Allied Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Allied Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Allied GroupAllied Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Allied Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Allied Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Allied Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.00 and 5.00, respectively. We have considered Allied Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.00
5.00
Expected Value
5.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Allied Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Allied Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Allied Group Ltd historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Allied Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allied Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Allied Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.005.005.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.005.005.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Allied Group

For every potential investor in Allied, whether a beginner or expert, Allied Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Allied Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Allied. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Allied Group's price trends.

Allied Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Allied Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Allied Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Allied Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Allied Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Allied Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Allied Group's current price.

Allied Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Allied Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Allied Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Allied Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Allied Group Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Allied Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Allied Group's price analysis, check to measure Allied Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allied Group is operating at the current time. Most of Allied Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allied Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allied Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allied Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.