Allied Corp Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ALID Stock  USD 0.0005  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Allied Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Allied Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Allied Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Allied Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Allied Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Allied Corp's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Allied Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Allied Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Allied Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Allied Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Allied Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Allied Corp from the perspective of Allied Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Allied Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.

Allied Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.13E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Allied Corp to cross-verify your projections.

Allied Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Allied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Allied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Allied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Allied Corp simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Allied Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Allied Corp prices get older.

Allied Corp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Allied Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000187, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Allied Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Allied Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Allied Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Allied Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Allied Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Allied Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000005 and 11.94, respectively. We have considered Allied Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0005
0.000005
Downside
0.0005
Expected Value
11.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Allied Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Allied Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.0845
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation2.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.3533
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0106
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Allied Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Allied Corp observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Allied Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allied Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000511.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000511.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.00510.010.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Allied Corp

For every potential investor in Allied, whether a beginner or expert, Allied Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Allied Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Allied. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Allied Corp's price trends.

Allied Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Allied Corp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Allied Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Allied Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Allied Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Allied Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Allied Corp's current price.

Allied Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Allied Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Allied Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Allied Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Allied Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Allied Pink Sheet

Allied Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allied Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allied with respect to the benefits of owning Allied Corp security.