Alkame Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Alkame Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000088 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000189 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001. Alkame Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Alkame Holdings is based on an artificially constructed time series of Alkame Holdings daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Alkame Holdings 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Alkame Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000088 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000189, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alkame Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alkame Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alkame Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Alkame Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alkame Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alkame Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 12.50, respectively. We have considered Alkame Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.000088
Expected Value
12.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alkame Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alkame Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.0165
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0E-4
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Alkame Holdings 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Alkame Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alkame Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Alkame Holdings

For every potential investor in Alkame, whether a beginner or expert, Alkame Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alkame Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alkame. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alkame Holdings' price trends.

Alkame Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alkame Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alkame Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alkame Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alkame Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alkame Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alkame Holdings' current price.

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Other Information on Investing in Alkame Pink Sheet

Alkame Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alkame Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alkame with respect to the benefits of owning Alkame Holdings security.