Alla Public Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

ALLA Stock  THB 1.17  0.01  0.86%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Alla Public on the next trading day is expected to be 1.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.37. Alla Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of Alla Public's share price is at 50. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alla Public, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Alla Public's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alla Public, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Alla Public hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alla Public from the perspective of Alla Public response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Alla Public on the next trading day is expected to be 1.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.37.

Alla Public after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 1.17  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alla Public to cross-verify your projections.

Alla Public Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alla price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alla using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alla charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Alla Public is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Alla Public Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Alla Public on the next trading day is expected to be 1.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000072, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alla Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alla Public's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alla Public Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Alla PublicAlla Public Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Alla Public Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alla Public's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alla Public's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.51 and 1.83, respectively. We have considered Alla Public's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.17
1.17
Expected Value
1.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alla Public stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alla Public stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.9022
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0064
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0055
SAESum of the absolute errors0.375
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Alla Public price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Alla Public. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Alla Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alla Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.521.171.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.521.171.82
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Alla Public

For every potential investor in Alla, whether a beginner or expert, Alla Public's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alla Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alla. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alla Public's price trends.

Alla Public Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alla Public stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alla Public could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alla Public by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alla Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alla Public's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alla Public's current price.

Alla Public Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alla Public stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alla Public shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alla Public stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alla Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alla Public Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alla Public's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alla Public's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alla stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Alla Stock

Alla Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alla Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alla with respect to the benefits of owning Alla Public security.