Groupe LDLC Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| ALLDL Stock | EUR 15.10 0.25 1.68% |
Groupe Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Groupe LDLC's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Groupe LDLC's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Groupe LDLC fundamentals over time.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Groupe LDLC's share price is approaching 39. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Groupe LDLC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.102 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3183 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7688 | Wall Street Target Price 23.3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.095 |
Using Groupe LDLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Groupe LDLC SA from the perspective of Groupe LDLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Groupe LDLC SA on the next trading day is expected to be 16.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 87.23. Groupe LDLC after-hype prediction price | EUR 15.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Groupe |
Groupe LDLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Groupe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Groupe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Groupe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Groupe LDLC Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Groupe LDLC SA on the next trading day is expected to be 16.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.41, mean absolute percentage error of 2.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 87.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Groupe Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Groupe LDLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Groupe LDLC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Groupe LDLC | Groupe LDLC Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Groupe LDLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Groupe LDLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Groupe LDLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.33 and 20.42, respectively. We have considered Groupe LDLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Groupe LDLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Groupe LDLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.8341 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.407 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0829 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 87.2324 |
Predictive Modules for Groupe LDLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Groupe LDLC SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Groupe LDLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Groupe LDLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Groupe LDLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Groupe LDLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Groupe LDLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Groupe LDLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Groupe LDLC's historical news coverage. Groupe LDLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.01 and 19.25, respectively. We have considered Groupe LDLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Groupe LDLC is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Groupe LDLC SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Groupe LDLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Groupe LDLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Groupe LDLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Groupe LDLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 4.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.10 | 15.13 | 0.20 |
|
Groupe LDLC Hype Timeline
Groupe LDLC SA is presently traded for 15.10on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Groupe is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is forecasted to be 0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Groupe LDLC is about 2288.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.10. The company reported the revenue of 534.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 121.65 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Groupe LDLC to cross-verify your projections.Groupe LDLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Groupe LDLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Groupe LDLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Groupe LDLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Groupe LDLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLA | Claranova SE | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 7.03 | (6.85) | 24.41 | |
| S30 | Solutions 30 SE | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.21 | (3.16) | 7.92 | |
| ALPHI | Facephi Biometria SA | 0.09 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.73 | (5.60) | 17.00 | |
| COH | Coheris SA | 0.50 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.26 | (6.90) | 23.94 | |
| GUI | Guillemot SA | 0.07 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.23 | (3.40) | 10.10 | |
| LACR | Lacroix Group SA | 1.15 | 3 per month | 0.35 | 0.13 | 2.62 | (1.24) | 10.88 | |
| ATEME | ATEME SA | (0.1) | 3 per month | 2.35 | 0.01 | 4.06 | (4.57) | 19.10 | |
| ALATA | Atari SA | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ALTAI | LIGHTON | 0.06 | 4 per month | 3.54 | 0.03 | 7.23 | (7.62) | 63.48 | |
| VANTI | VANTIVA SA | 0.00 | 3 per month | 3.02 | 0.03 | 9.09 | (8.33) | 29.69 |
Other Forecasting Options for Groupe LDLC
For every potential investor in Groupe, whether a beginner or expert, Groupe LDLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Groupe Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Groupe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Groupe LDLC's price trends.Groupe LDLC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Groupe LDLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Groupe LDLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Groupe LDLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Groupe LDLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Groupe LDLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Groupe LDLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Groupe LDLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Groupe LDLC SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Groupe LDLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of Groupe LDLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Groupe LDLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting groupe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.1 | |||
| Variance | 16.84 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.18 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Groupe LDLC
The number of cover stories for Groupe LDLC depends on current market conditions and Groupe LDLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Groupe LDLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Groupe LDLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Groupe LDLC Short Properties
Groupe LDLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Groupe LDLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Groupe LDLC SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Groupe LDLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Groupe LDLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37 M |
Additional Tools for Groupe Stock Analysis
When running Groupe LDLC's price analysis, check to measure Groupe LDLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupe LDLC is operating at the current time. Most of Groupe LDLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupe LDLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupe LDLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupe LDLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.