Alumis Stock Forecast - Relative Strength Index
| ALMS Stock | 24.52 1.76 6.70% |
Alumis Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the rsi of Alumis' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (1.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.88) | EPS Estimate Next Year (3.17) | Wall Street Target Price 37.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (1.00) |
Using Alumis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alumis Inc from the perspective of Alumis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alumis using Alumis' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alumis using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alumis' stock price.
Alumis Short Interest
An investor who is long Alumis may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Alumis and may potentially protect profits, hedge Alumis with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.2565 | Short Percent 0.1511 | Short Ratio 3.69 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.9 M | 50 Day MA 12.068 |
Alumis Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Alumis' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alumis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alumis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alumis Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Alumis Implied Volatility | 1.57 |
Alumis' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alumis Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alumis' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alumis stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alumis' options are near their expiration.
Alumis after-hype prediction price | USD 23.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alumis to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Alumis contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Alumis Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0981% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Alumis trading at USD 24.52, that is roughly USD 0.0241 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Alumis' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Alumis Inc options at the current volatility level of 1.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Alumis Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Alumis' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Alumis' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Alumis stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Alumis' open interest, investors have to compare it to Alumis' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Alumis is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Alumis. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Alumis Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alumis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alumis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alumis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Alumis Volatility | Backtest Alumis | Information Ratio |
Alumis Trading Date Momentum
| On January 23 2026 Alumis Inc was traded for 24.52 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 26.27 and the lowest listed price was 24.41 . The trading volume for the day was 2.4 M. The trading history from January 23, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 6.89% . |
| Compare Alumis to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Alumis
For every potential investor in Alumis, whether a beginner or expert, Alumis' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alumis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alumis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alumis' price trends.Alumis Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alumis stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alumis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alumis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alumis Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alumis stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alumis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alumis stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alumis Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 170165.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.95) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.07 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.70) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.76) |
Alumis Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alumis' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alumis' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alumis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.03 | |||
| Variance | 169.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Alumis
The number of cover stories for Alumis depends on current market conditions and Alumis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alumis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alumis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alumis Short Properties
Alumis' future price predictability will typically decrease when Alumis' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alumis Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alumis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alumis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 288.3 M |
Additional Tools for Alumis Stock Analysis
When running Alumis' price analysis, check to measure Alumis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alumis is operating at the current time. Most of Alumis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alumis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alumis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alumis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.