Alchemy Creative Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ALMY Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.000003%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alchemy Creative on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Alchemy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, Alchemy Creative's Other Current Liabilities is fairly stable compared to the past year. Other Assets is likely to rise to about 44.3 K in 2025, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 1.1 M in 2025.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Alchemy Creative's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
311.8 K
Current Value
299.9 K
Quarterly Volatility
18.4 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Alchemy Creative is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Alchemy Creative value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Alchemy Creative Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alchemy Creative on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alchemy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alchemy Creative's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alchemy Creative Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Alchemy CreativeAlchemy Creative Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Alchemy Creative Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alchemy Creative's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alchemy Creative's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Alchemy Creative's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alchemy Creative stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alchemy Creative stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria61.4946
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Alchemy Creative. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Alchemy Creative. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Alchemy Creative

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alchemy Creative. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Alchemy Creative

For every potential investor in Alchemy, whether a beginner or expert, Alchemy Creative's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alchemy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alchemy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alchemy Creative's price trends.

Alchemy Creative Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alchemy Creative stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alchemy Creative could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alchemy Creative by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alchemy Creative Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alchemy Creative's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alchemy Creative's current price.

Alchemy Creative Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alchemy Creative stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alchemy Creative shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alchemy Creative stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alchemy Creative entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Alchemy Stock Analysis

When running Alchemy Creative's price analysis, check to measure Alchemy Creative's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alchemy Creative is operating at the current time. Most of Alchemy Creative's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alchemy Creative's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alchemy Creative's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alchemy Creative to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.