Alior Bank Pink Sheet Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| ALORYDelisted Stock | USD 12.07 0.00 0.00% |
Alior Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Alior Bank's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Alior Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alior Bank SA from the perspective of Alior Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Alior Bank SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Alior Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 12.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Alior |
Alior Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alior price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alior using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alior charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alior Bank Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Alior Bank SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alior Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alior Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alior Bank Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Alior Bank | Alior Bank Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alior Bank pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alior Bank pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 58.7796 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Alior Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alior Bank SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alior Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alior Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alior Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Alior Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alior Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alior Bank's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alior Bank's historical news coverage. Alior Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.07 and 12.07, respectively. We have considered Alior Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alior Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alior Bank SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alior Bank Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alior Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alior Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alior Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.07 | 12.07 | 0.00 |
|
Alior Bank Hype Timeline
Alior Bank SA is presently traded for 12.07. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alior is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alior Bank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.07. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.44. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alior Bank SA last dividend was issued on the 16th of June 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.Alior Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alior Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alior Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Alior Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alior Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CWESF | Canadian Western Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.25 | |
| BGKKF | Bangkok Bank Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.12 | |
| BKAYY | Bank Of Ayudhya | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.93 | |
| BMEXF | Banco Santander Mxico | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ALBKF | Alpha Services And | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.84 | 0.24 | 15.90 | (4.49) | 37.04 | |
| UNPLF | UnipolSai Assicurazioni SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SUNFF | Sun Life Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.34 | |
| JYSKY | Jyske Bank AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DCYHY | Discovery Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRPHF | Galaxy Digital Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.18 | 0.20 | 9.00 | (7.36) | 26.37 |
Alior Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alior Bank pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alior Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alior Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alior Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alior Bank pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alior Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alior Bank pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Alior Bank SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Alior Bank
The number of cover stories for Alior Bank depends on current market conditions and Alior Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alior Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alior Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Other Consideration for investing in Alior Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Alior Bank SA check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Alior Bank's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance |