Alquiber Quality Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| ALQ Stock | EUR 12.80 0.10 0.79% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Alquiber Quality SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.45. Alquiber Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Alquiber Quality stock prices and determine the direction of Alquiber Quality SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alquiber Quality's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Alquiber Quality's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Alquiber Quality hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alquiber Quality SA from the perspective of Alquiber Quality response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Alquiber Quality SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.45. Alquiber Quality after-hype prediction price | EUR 12.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Alquiber |
Alquiber Quality Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alquiber price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alquiber using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alquiber charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alquiber Quality Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Alquiber Quality SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alquiber Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alquiber Quality's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alquiber Quality Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Alquiber Quality | Alquiber Quality Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Alquiber Quality Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Alquiber Quality's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alquiber Quality's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.19 and 13.67, respectively. We have considered Alquiber Quality's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alquiber Quality stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alquiber Quality stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3976 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0729 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0058 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.4485 |
Predictive Modules for Alquiber Quality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alquiber Quality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alquiber Quality After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alquiber Quality at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alquiber Quality or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alquiber Quality, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alquiber Quality Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alquiber Quality's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alquiber Quality's historical news coverage. Alquiber Quality's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.06 and 13.54, respectively. We have considered Alquiber Quality's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alquiber Quality is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alquiber Quality is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alquiber Quality Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alquiber Quality is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alquiber Quality backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alquiber Quality, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.80 | 12.80 | 0.00 |
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Alquiber Quality Hype Timeline
Alquiber Quality is presently traded for 12.80on Madrid Exchange of Spain. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alquiber is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alquiber Quality is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.80. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alquiber Quality to cross-verify your projections.Alquiber Quality Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alquiber Quality's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alquiber Quality's future price movements. Getting to know how Alquiber Quality's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alquiber Quality may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APG | Axon Partners Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | 0.03 | 2.14 | (1.35) | 9.41 | |
| CLR | CLERHP Estructuras SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.15 | 0.19 | 6.88 | (3.37) | 24.06 | |
| ENRS | Enerside Energy SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 11.32 | (7.37) | 30.97 | |
| MDF | Duro Felguera | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.88 | (5.26) | 27.05 | |
| EZE | Grupo Ezentis SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.53 | (2.42) | 25.08 | |
| LLYC | Llorente Cuenca SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.19 | (3.31) | 11.81 | |
| END | Endurance Motive SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.48 | (4.04) | 15.02 | |
| GAM | General de Alquiler | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | 0.01 | 4.76 | (2.42) | 12.35 | |
| COM | Catenon SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.88 | (4.35) | 10.66 | |
| GRI | Gri Ecologic SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Alquiber Quality
For every potential investor in Alquiber, whether a beginner or expert, Alquiber Quality's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alquiber Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alquiber. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alquiber Quality's price trends.Alquiber Quality Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alquiber Quality stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alquiber Quality could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alquiber Quality by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alquiber Quality Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alquiber Quality stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alquiber Quality shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alquiber Quality stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alquiber Quality SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Alquiber Quality Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alquiber Quality's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alquiber Quality's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alquiber stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3331 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5446 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7439 | |||
| Variance | 0.5534 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2966 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Alquiber Quality
The number of cover stories for Alquiber Quality depends on current market conditions and Alquiber Quality's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alquiber Quality is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alquiber Quality's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alquiber Quality Short Properties
Alquiber Quality's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alquiber Quality's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alquiber Quality SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alquiber Quality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alquiber Quality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 673.8 K | |
| Shares Float | 2.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in Alquiber Stock
Alquiber Quality financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alquiber Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alquiber with respect to the benefits of owning Alquiber Quality security.