Spineguard Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ALSGD Stock | EUR 0.13 0.01 7.14% |
Spineguard Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Spineguard's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Spineguard's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Spineguard fundamentals over time.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Spineguard's share price is at 51. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Spineguard, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.06) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.03) | Wall Street Target Price 0.8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
Using Spineguard hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spineguard from the perspective of Spineguard response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Spineguard on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.31. Spineguard after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Spineguard |
Spineguard Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spineguard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spineguard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spineguard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Spineguard Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Spineguard on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000052, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Spineguard Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Spineguard's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Spineguard Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Spineguard | Spineguard Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Spineguard Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Spineguard's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Spineguard's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.44, respectively. We have considered Spineguard's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Spineguard stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Spineguard stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.2393 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0051 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0443 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3131 |
Predictive Modules for Spineguard
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spineguard. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Spineguard's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Spineguard After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spineguard at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spineguard or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spineguard, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Spineguard Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spineguard's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spineguard's historical news coverage. Spineguard's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 6.44, respectively. We have considered Spineguard's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spineguard is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spineguard is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spineguard Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spineguard is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spineguard backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spineguard, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 6.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.13 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
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Spineguard Hype Timeline
Spineguard is presently traded for 0.13on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Spineguard is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Spineguard is about 95173.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.13. The book value of the company was presently reported as 0.07. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.04. Spineguard had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 351:337 split on the 9th of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Spineguard to cross-verify your projections.Spineguard Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spineguard's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spineguard's future price movements. Getting to know how Spineguard's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spineguard may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALMKT | Mauna Kea Technologies | (0.0003) | 3 per month | 4.12 | 0.14 | 14.29 | (7.69) | 35.16 | |
| ALBLU | Bluelinea SA | 0.04 | 1 per month | 2.29 | 0 | 4.17 | (4.17) | 14.33 | |
| ALAMA | AMA Corp PLC | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 7.69 | (7.14) | 22.29 | |
| ALTME | TME Pharma NV | (0.0006) | 1 per month | 4.69 | 0.02 | 11.88 | (8.18) | 44.08 | |
| MLLAB | Media Lab SpA | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.29 | (2.25) | 38.38 | |
| ALEMG | Euromedis Groupe SA | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.29 | 0.13 | 2.30 | (1.01) | 7.00 | |
| ALBPS | Biophytis SA | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.08 | (5.75) | 44.52 | |
| ALPAT | Plant Advanced Technologies | 0.08 | 3 per month | 1.69 | (0.03) | 4.27 | (2.80) | 10.35 | |
| ALPRE | Predilife | (0.04) | 1 per month | 2.29 | (0.01) | 5.32 | (3.54) | 22.75 | |
| ALBIO | Biosynex | (0.01) | 3 per month | 2.67 | 0.17 | 17.24 | (7.62) | 37.06 |
Other Forecasting Options for Spineguard
For every potential investor in Spineguard, whether a beginner or expert, Spineguard's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Spineguard Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Spineguard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Spineguard's price trends.Spineguard Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Spineguard stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Spineguard could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spineguard by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Spineguard Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Spineguard stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Spineguard shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Spineguard stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Spineguard entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 74450.31 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.13 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.13 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.87 |
Spineguard Risk Indicators
The analysis of Spineguard's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Spineguard's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spineguard stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.22 | |||
| Variance | 38.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 73.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 23.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Spineguard
The number of cover stories for Spineguard depends on current market conditions and Spineguard's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spineguard is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spineguard's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Spineguard Short Properties
Spineguard's future price predictability will typically decrease when Spineguard's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spineguard often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spineguard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spineguard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 719.3 K |
Additional Tools for Spineguard Stock Analysis
When running Spineguard's price analysis, check to measure Spineguard's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spineguard is operating at the current time. Most of Spineguard's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spineguard's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spineguard's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spineguard to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.