Spartoo SAS Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| ALSPT Stock | 0.26 0.03 10.34% |
Spartoo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Spartoo SAS's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Spartoo SAS's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Spartoo SAS fundamentals over time.
At this time the value of rsi of Spartoo SAS's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 16
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.757 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.02) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.01) | Wall Street Target Price 1.1 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
Using Spartoo SAS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spartoo SAS from the perspective of Spartoo SAS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Spartoo SAS on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.73. Spartoo SAS after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Spartoo |
Spartoo SAS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spartoo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spartoo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spartoo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Spartoo SAS Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Spartoo SAS on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Spartoo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Spartoo SAS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Spartoo SAS Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Spartoo SAS | Spartoo SAS Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Spartoo SAS Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Spartoo SAS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Spartoo SAS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.35, respectively. We have considered Spartoo SAS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Spartoo SAS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Spartoo SAS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.9248 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.012 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.044 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.7338 |
Predictive Modules for Spartoo SAS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spartoo SAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Spartoo SAS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Spartoo SAS After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spartoo SAS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spartoo SAS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spartoo SAS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Spartoo SAS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spartoo SAS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spartoo SAS's historical news coverage. Spartoo SAS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 4.23, respectively. We have considered Spartoo SAS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spartoo SAS is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spartoo SAS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spartoo SAS Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spartoo SAS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spartoo SAS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spartoo SAS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 4.11 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.26 | 0.29 | 0.00 |
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Spartoo SAS Hype Timeline
Spartoo SAS is presently traded for 0.26on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Spartoo is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Spartoo SAS is about 5325.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.28. About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.16. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Spartoo SAS recorded a loss per share of 0.07. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Spartoo SAS to cross-verify your projections.Spartoo SAS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spartoo SAS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spartoo SAS's future price movements. Getting to know how Spartoo SAS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spartoo SAS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALEMV | Emova Group SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.82 | 0.01 | 3.64 | (3.45) | 30.30 | |
| ALNLF | Neolife SA | (0) | 2 per month | 3.27 | 0.03 | 5.39 | (5.84) | 19.66 | |
| ALVIA | Vialife SA | 0.1 | 1 per month | 3.71 | 0.03 | 6.96 | (3.36) | 39.92 | |
| ALUPG | Upergy | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.85 | (4.85) | 19.52 | |
| ALDBL | Bernard Loisea | 0.50 | 1 per month | 2.85 | 0.05 | 7.06 | (6.59) | 24.06 | |
| MLARD | Ardoin ST Amand | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GJAJ | Groupe JAJ | 0.00 | 1 per month | 5.94 | 0.04 | 15.83 | (13.39) | 46.02 | |
| NR21 | NR 21 SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 19.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for Spartoo SAS
For every potential investor in Spartoo, whether a beginner or expert, Spartoo SAS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Spartoo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Spartoo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Spartoo SAS's price trends.Spartoo SAS Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Spartoo SAS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Spartoo SAS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spartoo SAS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Spartoo SAS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Spartoo SAS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Spartoo SAS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Spartoo SAS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Spartoo SAS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Spartoo SAS Risk Indicators
The analysis of Spartoo SAS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Spartoo SAS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spartoo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.84 | |||
| Variance | 14.77 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Spartoo SAS
The number of cover stories for Spartoo SAS depends on current market conditions and Spartoo SAS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spartoo SAS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spartoo SAS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Spartoo SAS Short Properties
Spartoo SAS's future price predictability will typically decrease when Spartoo SAS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spartoo SAS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spartoo SAS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spartoo SAS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.3 M |
Additional Tools for Spartoo Stock Analysis
When running Spartoo SAS's price analysis, check to measure Spartoo SAS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spartoo SAS is operating at the current time. Most of Spartoo SAS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spartoo SAS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spartoo SAS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spartoo SAS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.