STIF Socit Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| ALSTI Stock | 60.30 0.70 1.15% |
STIF Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although STIF Socit's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of STIF Socit's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of STIF Socit fundamentals over time.
At this time the rsi of STIF Socit's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.869 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7958 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.6781 | Wall Street Target Price 88.895 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.326 |
Using STIF Socit hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of STIF Socit anonyme from the perspective of STIF Socit response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of STIF Socit anonyme on the next trading day is expected to be 60.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.60. STIF Socit after-hype prediction price | EUR 60.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
STIF |
STIF Socit Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine STIF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for STIF using various technical indicators. When you analyze STIF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
STIF Socit Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of STIF Socit anonyme on the next trading day is expected to be 60.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26, mean absolute percentage error of 3.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict STIF Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that STIF Socit's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
STIF Socit Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest STIF Socit | STIF Socit Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
STIF Socit Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting STIF Socit's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. STIF Socit's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 57.20 and 63.40, respectively. We have considered STIF Socit's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of STIF Socit stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent STIF Socit stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0475 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2644 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.022 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 74.6 |
Predictive Modules for STIF Socit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STIF Socit anonyme. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.STIF Socit After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of STIF Socit at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in STIF Socit or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of STIF Socit, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
STIF Socit Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting STIF Socit's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on STIF Socit's historical news coverage. STIF Socit's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.12 and 63.32, respectively. We have considered STIF Socit's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
STIF Socit is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of STIF Socit anonyme is based on 3 months time horizon.
STIF Socit Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as STIF Socit is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading STIF Socit backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with STIF Socit, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 3.10 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
60.30 | 60.22 | 0.13 |
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STIF Socit Hype Timeline
STIF Socit anonyme is presently traded for 60.30on Euronext Paris of France. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. STIF is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 60.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on STIF Socit is about 9687.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.30. About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of May 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of STIF Socit to cross-verify your projections.STIF Socit Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to STIF Socit's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict STIF Socit's future price movements. Getting to know how STIF Socit's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how STIF Socit may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PERR | Grard Perrier Industrie | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.06 | 2.21 | (1.41) | 6.17 | |
| SAMS | Samse SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.89 | (2.80) | 7.43 | |
| SFPI | Groupe Sfpi | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.75 | (2.27) | 5.91 | |
| ALPM | Precia SA | 0.70 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.18 | (2.60) | 6.97 | |
| EXE | Exel Industries | 0.39 | 7 per month | 1.34 | 0.12 | 3.04 | (2.77) | 9.50 | |
| GPE | Groupe Pizzorno Environnement | 1.40 | 2 per month | 0.92 | 0.06 | 1.94 | (1.41) | 10.97 | |
| WAGA | Waga Energy SA | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.15 | (2.75) | 9.01 | |
| ALTPC | Societe Marseillaise du | (0.1) | 1 per month | 0.28 | (0.02) | 1.07 | (0.71) | 3.25 | |
| ALGEV | Gevelot | (3.00) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.49 | (3.93) | 10.40 | |
| BALYO | Balyo SA | 0.29 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 3.23 | (3.12) | 98.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for STIF Socit
For every potential investor in STIF, whether a beginner or expert, STIF Socit's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. STIF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in STIF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying STIF Socit's price trends.STIF Socit Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with STIF Socit stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of STIF Socit could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing STIF Socit by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
STIF Socit Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how STIF Socit stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading STIF Socit shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying STIF Socit stock market strength indicators, traders can identify STIF Socit anonyme entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
STIF Socit Risk Indicators
The analysis of STIF Socit's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in STIF Socit's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stif stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.12 | |||
| Variance | 9.74 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for STIF Socit
The number of cover stories for STIF Socit depends on current market conditions and STIF Socit's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that STIF Socit is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about STIF Socit's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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STIF Socit Short Properties
STIF Socit's future price predictability will typically decrease when STIF Socit's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of STIF Socit anonyme often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential STIF Socit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STIF Socit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.7 M |
Additional Tools for STIF Stock Analysis
When running STIF Socit's price analysis, check to measure STIF Socit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy STIF Socit is operating at the current time. Most of STIF Socit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of STIF Socit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move STIF Socit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of STIF Socit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.