Altech Batteries Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

ALTHF Stock   0.03  0.01  20.50%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Altech Batteries Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Altech Batteries' stock prices and determine the direction of Altech Batteries Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Altech Batteries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Altech Batteries Limited is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Altech Batteries 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Altech Batteries Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000035, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Altech Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Altech Batteries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Altech Batteries Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Altech Batteries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Altech Batteries' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Altech Batteries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 13.18, respectively. We have considered Altech Batteries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.0003
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
13.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Altech Batteries pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Altech Batteries pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.5108
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0029
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0784
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1663
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Altech Batteries. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Altech Batteries Limited and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Altech Batteries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altech Batteries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Altech Batteries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Altech Batteries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Altech Batteries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Altech Batteries.

Other Forecasting Options for Altech Batteries

For every potential investor in Altech, whether a beginner or expert, Altech Batteries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Altech Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Altech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Altech Batteries' price trends.

Altech Batteries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Altech Batteries pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Altech Batteries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Altech Batteries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Altech Batteries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Altech Batteries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Altech Batteries' current price.

Altech Batteries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Altech Batteries pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Altech Batteries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Altech Batteries pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Altech Batteries Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Altech Batteries Risk Indicators

The analysis of Altech Batteries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Altech Batteries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting altech pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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