Societe Marseillaise Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ALTPC Stock | 28.50 0.20 0.71% |
Societe Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Societe Marseillaise's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Societe Marseillaise's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Societe Marseillaise fundamentals over time.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Societe Marseillaise's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.152 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.86 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.99 | Wall Street Target Price 28.1 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.013 |
Using Societe Marseillaise hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Societe Marseillaise du from the perspective of Societe Marseillaise response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Societe Marseillaise du on the next trading day is expected to be 28.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.85. Societe Marseillaise after-hype prediction price | EUR 28.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Societe |
Societe Marseillaise Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Societe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Societe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Societe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Societe Marseillaise Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Societe Marseillaise du on the next trading day is expected to be 28.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Societe Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Societe Marseillaise's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Societe Marseillaise Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Societe Marseillaise | Societe Marseillaise Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Societe Marseillaise Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Societe Marseillaise's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Societe Marseillaise's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.95 and 29.05, respectively. We have considered Societe Marseillaise's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Societe Marseillaise stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Societe Marseillaise stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.5236 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0275 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1142 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0041 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.85 |
Predictive Modules for Societe Marseillaise
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Societe Marseillaise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Societe Marseillaise's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Societe Marseillaise After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Societe Marseillaise at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Societe Marseillaise or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Societe Marseillaise, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Societe Marseillaise Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Societe Marseillaise's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Societe Marseillaise's historical news coverage. Societe Marseillaise's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.94 and 29.04, respectively. We have considered Societe Marseillaise's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Societe Marseillaise is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Societe Marseillaise is based on 3 months time horizon.
Societe Marseillaise Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Societe Marseillaise is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Societe Marseillaise backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Societe Marseillaise, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.55 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.50 | 28.49 | 0.04 |
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Societe Marseillaise Hype Timeline
Societe Marseillaise is presently traded for 28.50on Euronext Paris of France. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Societe is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Societe Marseillaise is about 331.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.49. About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Societe Marseillaise was presently reported as 11.23. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of June 2025. Societe Marseillaise had 5:1 split on the 5th of December 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Societe Marseillaise to cross-verify your projections.Societe Marseillaise Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Societe Marseillaise's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Societe Marseillaise's future price movements. Getting to know how Societe Marseillaise's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Societe Marseillaise may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALPM | Precia SA | 0.70 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.18 | (2.60) | 6.97 | |
| SFPI | Groupe Sfpi | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.75 | (2.27) | 5.91 | |
| LAT | Latcore SA | 0.0002 | 1 per month | 2.47 | 0.13 | 8.11 | (5.41) | 16.94 | |
| ALCIS | Catering International Services | 0.05 | 7 per month | 1.17 | 0.06 | 2.53 | (2.16) | 6.97 | |
| ALFRE | FreelanceCom | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.25 | 0.03 | 3.72 | (2.33) | 12.14 | |
| ALGEV | Gevelot | (3.00) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.49 | (3.93) | 10.40 | |
| AAA | Alan Allman Associates | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.50 | (9.33) | 29.03 | |
| ALSOG | Sogeclair SA | 0.20 | 1 per month | 0.82 | 0.15 | 2.73 | (1.43) | 8.48 | |
| GPE | Groupe Pizzorno Environnement | 1.40 | 2 per month | 0.93 | 0.07 | 1.94 | (1.41) | 10.97 | |
| GEA | GEA Grenobl Elect | (1.00) | 1 per month | 0.89 | 0.11 | 2.72 | (1.94) | 8.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Societe Marseillaise
For every potential investor in Societe, whether a beginner or expert, Societe Marseillaise's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Societe Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Societe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Societe Marseillaise's price trends.Societe Marseillaise Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Societe Marseillaise stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Societe Marseillaise could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Societe Marseillaise by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Societe Marseillaise Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Societe Marseillaise stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Societe Marseillaise shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Societe Marseillaise stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Societe Marseillaise du entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Societe Marseillaise Risk Indicators
The analysis of Societe Marseillaise's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Societe Marseillaise's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting societe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3793 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2724 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5385 | |||
| Variance | 0.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3518 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0742 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.61) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Societe Marseillaise
The number of cover stories for Societe Marseillaise depends on current market conditions and Societe Marseillaise's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Societe Marseillaise is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Societe Marseillaise's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Societe Marseillaise Short Properties
Societe Marseillaise's future price predictability will typically decrease when Societe Marseillaise's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Societe Marseillaise du often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Societe Marseillaise's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Societe Marseillaise's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44 M |
Additional Tools for Societe Stock Analysis
When running Societe Marseillaise's price analysis, check to measure Societe Marseillaise's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Societe Marseillaise is operating at the current time. Most of Societe Marseillaise's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Societe Marseillaise's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Societe Marseillaise's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Societe Marseillaise to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.